问答题

Regional cooperation remains critical for increasing new infrastructure, but the substantial gap between what is needed and what is in the pipeline is widening. Innovative mechanisms are urgently needed to help mobilize public finance, attract greater private sector participation and tap new sources of long-term capital.

Inadequate investment in infrastructure continues as a major barrier to sustainable and inclusive economic growth in developing Asia. Physical connectivity through roads, rails, and ports is essential for efficient, reliable, and low-cost logistics for international trade and investment. Following the 1997/98 Asian financial crisis (AFC), many economies in the region used economic cooperation and integration initiatives in part to expand markets beyond traditional trading partners in Europe and North America. By the time the GFC hit, over half of Asian trade was with other Asian economies. Asia’s intraregional trade and investment was strong enough to help shield the region from excessive fallout, while domestic stimulus pulled affected economies quickly out of recession. Although much of the stimulus came through infrastructure investment, it hardly slowed the widening infrastructure gap in most economies. Substantial deficiencies in both the quality and quantity of multimodal infrastructure across Asia persist because of a shortage of investment—which has yet to return to pre-1997 levels. From 2011 to 2013, the time required to export or import increased in Asia, underscoring both physical and behind-the-border deficiencies. Further, the benefits of connectivity have been unevenly spread. In sub-regions where transport is good-such as East Asia-trade has expended rapidly. But in sub-regions where connections are poor, trade remains low and economic growth has lagged.

Adequate infrastructure connectivity is critical for economic competitiveness, and is a major factor determining where investors locate and what they produce. Extensive and efficient transportation are the links of supply chains-connecting people and firms to markets, whether buyers/importers or sellers/exporters. Aside from access to markets, it creates jobs and boosts business opportunities. It helps narrow the development gap-nationally and sub-regionally promoting inclusive and sustainable growth. Improved transport infrastructure reduces costs, particularly for Southeast Asian supply networks catering to East Asian manufacturers across major product lines such as garments, automobiles, and electronics. Given Asia’s largely liberalized trade regimes, narrowing the infrastructure gap would do more to reduce trade costs and increase volumes than eliminating remaining tariff barriers. Futhermore, with large segments of Asia’s poor living in remote or isolated areas, they would benefit greatly from improved access to industrial centers as well as to health and educational services.

【正确答案】

区域合作对于增加新的基础设施仍然至关重要,但需要的和正在酝酿的内容之间的差距正在扩大。创新的机制是迫切需要的,以便运用这些机制来帮助动员公共财政,吸引更多的私营部门参与,并挖掘新的长期资本来源。

对基础设施的投资不足仍然是亚洲发展中国家实现可持续和包容性经济增长的主要障碍。公路、铁路和港口间的物理连接对于国际贸易和投资的高效、可靠和低成本物流至关重要。在1997~1998年亚洲金融危机(AFC)之后,该地区的许多经济体利用经济合作和一体化举措,部分地区将市场扩展到欧洲和北美的传统贸易伙伴之外。到全球金融危机爆发时,亚洲贸易的一半以上来自其他亚洲经济体。亚洲的区域内贸易和投资足以帮助保护该地区免受过度影响,而国内刺激措施则迅速帮助受影响的经济体摆脱衰退。虽然大部分刺激措施是通过基础设施投资进行的,但它几乎没有减缓大多数经济体之间扩大的基础设施差距。亚洲多式联运基础设施的质量和数量都存在严重缺陷,原因是投资短缺——投资尚未恢复到1997年前的水平。从2011年到2013年,亚洲出口或进口所需的时间有所增加,凸显了现实和境内的缺陷。此外,世界各地受连通性的裨益并不均衡。在运输良好的次区域,如东亚,贸易迅速增长。但在交通连接不畅的次区域,贸易水平仍然很低,经济增长滞后。

充分的基础设施连通性对于经济竞争力至关重要,并且是决定投资者所在位置及其生产方式的主要因素。广泛而高效的运输是供应链的纽带——将人和公司连接到市场,无论是买方(进口商)还是卖方(出口商)。除了进入市场,它还创造就业机会并增加商机。它有助于缩小国家间和次区域间发展差距,促进包容性增长和可持续增长。改善的运输基础设施降低了成本,特别是对东南亚的供应网络而言,它适用于在服装、汽车和电子等行业主要产品线上的东亚制造商。鉴于亚洲基本上自由化的贸易体制,缩小基础设施差距将比消除剩余的关税壁垒更能降低贸易成本和增加产量。此外,由于大部分亚洲贫困人口生活在偏远地区,他们将从改善工业中心的使用以及健康和教育服务中受益匪浅。

【答案解析】