Directions: Read the following four texts. Answer the questions below each text by choosing A, B, C or D. Mark your answers on the ANSWER SHEET.
Text 1
Punishment depends as much on politics as it does on crime: crime rates have been stable in recent years but there has been a striking increase in the prison population. And because populism is coming so much to dominate the political agendas, politicians are advocating sharp increase in penalties to take advantage of public unease. The question is how far this will get. In the 21th century weak governments might try to win legitimacy by being especially tough on crime. That could mean high prison populations and draconian(严峻的) punishments such as those adopted in the United States in recent years.
Luckily, there remain significant differences between the UK and the USA: social divisions are less extreme and racial tensions are not as high. Although there is a great deal of minor violent crime here, rates of murder - which particularly fuel public anxieties—are much lower because guns have not been so widely dispersed. It’s unlikely that this will change greatly; the trend 1o tighten up the gun laws in Britain will continue, and all but the toughest criminals will still have a view about what is and what isn’t “acceptable” violence.
So I don’t believe we will see a huge rise in violent crime, but I expect rates of property crime and crimes of opportunity to remain high. There will also be much more electronic fraud because it’s so hard to detect and prevent. This is an important problem for business, but not one that arouses much popular agitation.
It’s unlikely we’ll see the return of death penalty: the police are skeptical about its effectiveness and its introduction would be highly problematic given the recent Council of Europe protocol outlawing its use. Capital punishment remains a pretty accurate temperature gauge, though: whenever there is significant political pressure for the death penalty, it’s a sign of harsher attitudes towards crime generally.
As prison populations continue to rise, we will certainly see alternatives to prison such as electronic tagging increase. But I don’t generally envisage any sudden shift towards reduced sanction; net levels of punishment could well continue to increase somewhat. Overall, I expect to see some growth in the population of prisons, mainly independent ones—and a massive increase in private policing and other law enforcement.