问答题
Science, in practice, depends far less on the experiments it prepares than on the preparedness of the minds of the men who watch the experiments. Sir Isaac Newton supposedly discovered gravity through the fall of an apple. Apples had been falling in many places for centuries and thousands of people had seen them fall. But Newton for years had been curious about the cause of the orbital motion of the moon and planets. What kept them in place? Why didn"t they fall out of the sky? The fact that the apple fell down toward the earth and not up into the tree answered the question he had been asking himself about those larger fruits of the heavens, the moon and the planets.
How many men would have considered the possibility of an apple falling up into the tree? Newton did because he was not trying to predict anything. He was just wondering his mind was ready for the unpredictable. Unpredictability is part of the essential nature of research. If you don"t have unpredictable things, you don"t have research. Scientists tend to forget this when writing their cut and dried reports for the technical journals, but history is filled with examples of it.
In talking to some scientists, particularly younger ones, you might gather the impression that they find the "scientific method" a substitute for imaginative thought. I"ve attended research conferences where a scientist has been asked what he thinks about the advisability of continuing a certain experiment. The scientist has frowned, looked at the graphs, and said "The data are still inconclusive." "We know that," the men from the budget office have said, "but what do you think? Is it worthwhile going on? What do you think we might expect?" The scientist has been shocked at having even been asked to speculate.
What this amounts to, of course, is that the scientist has become the victim of his own writings. He has put forward unquestioned claims so consistently that he not only believes them himself, but has convinced industrial and business management that they are true. If experiments are planned and carried out according to plan as faithfully as the reports in the science journals indicate, then it is perfectly logical for management to expect research to produce results measurable in dollars and cents. It is entirely reasonable for auditors to believe that scientists who know exactly where they are going and how they will get there should not be distracted by the necessity of keeping one eye on the cash register while the other eye is on the microscope. Nor, if regularity and conformity to a standard pattern are as desirable to the scientist as the writing of his papers would appear to reflect, is management to be blamed for discriminating against the "odd balls" among researchers in favor of more conventional thinkers who "work well with the team".
【正确答案】
【答案解析】在实践中,科学与其说依靠事先准备的实践,不如说依靠实验观察者有所准备的头脑。艾萨克·牛顿爵士通过对苹果落地进行推理发现了万有引力定律。多少世纪以来,苹果一直在许多地方落到地面,成千上万个人看到苹果落地。而牛顿多年来一直对月球和行星绕轨道运行的起因感到好感。是什么力量使得它们处于现在的位置呢?它们为什么不落到天空之外呢?苹果向下落到地上而不是向上飞到树上这一事实回答了牛顿长期以来对月球和行星所存有的疑问。月球和行星是苍天中更大的果实。
多少人考虑过苹果向上飞到树上的可能性呢?牛顿考虑过,因为他不想对任何事情进行预测。他只是喜欢思索。他的头脑随时准备思考不可预测的事。不可预测性是科学研究不可缺少的一个重要特征。如果没有不可预测现象,就用不着研究了。科学家们在为科学杂志撰写千篇一律的报告时往往忘记这一点,但是历史上却充满了这样的实例。
在与一些科学家,特别是青年科学家交谈时,你可能会形成这样一种印象:他们找到了“科学的方法”——一种取代想象思维的方法。我出席过一些科研会议。在会上有人问一位科学家继续某项实验是否明智之举。这位科学家皱了皱眉头,看了看图表,然后说:“数据还不够充分。”主管预算的人员说:“这点我们知道,但你的意见如何?值得继续进行吗?你认为我们可以期待着什么呢?”这位科学家感到很震惊,他没想到他们会叫他做出预测。
当然,这几乎等于说:这位科学家成了他自己论文的受害者。他们对实验结果所下的断言是如此不容置疑、如此一致,以至于不仅令他们自己,而且也让工商管理部门相信其预测的准确性。如果实验完全按科学杂志报告中所陈述的那样按事先的计划去设计完成,那么管理部门可以期待研究成果用美元、美分来衡量,这完全符合逻辑。审计员们也完全有理由相信确切地知道自己的目标,而且知道如何实现这一目标的科学家完全没有必要分心,一只眼睛盯着收款机,另一只眼睛看着显微镜。假如像他们的论文反映的那样,科学家们也想看到规律性和与某种标准模式的一致性。那么,如果管理者们歧视研究者中的“怪人”,而喜欢“善于合作”的具有传统思维模式的人,这也是无可指责的。