.  Although genetic mutations in bacteria and viruses can lead to epidemics, some epidemics are caused by bacteria and viruses that have undergone no significant genetic change. In analyzing the latter, scientists have discovered the importance of social and ecological factors to epidemics. Poliomyelitis, for example, emerged as an epidemic in the United States in the twentieth century, by then, modern sanitation was able to delay exposure to polio until adolescence or adulthood, at which time polio infection produced paralysis. Previously, infection had occurred during infancy, when it typically provided lifelong immunity without paralysis. Thus, the hygiene that helped prevent typhoid epidemics indirectly fostered a paralytic polio epidemic. Another example is Lyme disease, which is caused by bacteria that are transmitted by deer ticks. It occurred only sporadically during the late nineteenth century, but has recently become prevalent in parts of the United States, largely due to an increase in the deer population that occurred simultaneously with the growth of the suburbs and increased outdoor recreational activities in the deer's habitat. Similarly, an outbreak of dengue hemorrhagic fever became an epidemic in Asia in the 1950s because of ecological changes that caused Aedesaegypti, the mosquito that transmits the dengue virus, to proliferate. The stage is now set in the United States for a dengue epidemic because of the inadvertent introduction and wide dissemination of another mosquito, Aedesalbopictus.1.  The passage suggests that a lack of modern sanitation would make ______ most likely to occur.
【正确答案】 C
【答案解析】 这篇短文主要讲述了即使细菌和病毒的基因转变会造成传染病的流行,但是科学家发现社会因素和生态因素是流行病传染的另两个重要因素。
   细节题。题目问的是文章暗示,如果没有现代卫生设备,______会很容易发生。根据文中第五句“Thus, the hygiene that helped prevent typhoid epidemics indirectly fostered a paralytic polio epidemic”可知,卫生设备系统抑制了伤寒病和麻痹性脊髓灰质炎疫情的传播,因此,如果没有卫生设备系统,伤寒病和麻痹性脊髓灰质炎将会传播。故选C。
[参考译文] 虽然细菌和病毒的基因突变可导致传染病的流行,一些传染病由细菌和病毒导致,没有进行显著的遗传变化。在分析后一种后,科学家们发现了流行病中社会和生态因素的重要性。例如,20世纪出现在美国的流行疾病——小儿麻痹症,当时的卫生技术能够延迟小儿麻痹症的发病期直到青春期或成年期,而在这段时间的小儿麻痹症感染而产生瘫痪。此前,感染发生在婴儿时期,但它通常因为终身免疫而不会导致瘫痪。因此,有助于防止伤寒疫情的卫生设备系统间接预防了麻痹性脊髓灰质炎的疫情。另一个例子是莱姆病,这是由鹿蜱传播的细菌引起的。它零星的发生在19世纪末,但最近在美国部分地区流行。这主要是由于鹿蜱数量的增加,并且同时郊区的人口增长以及他们在鹿蜱栖息地的户外休闲活动的增加。同样,1950年亚洲的出血性登革热是因为埃及伊蚊的生态变化,蚊子的繁殖传播了登革热病毒。现阶段的美国登革热流行病是因为无意引进另一种蚊子——白纹伊蚊和其广泛传播。