In the atmosphere, carbon dioxide acts rather like a one-way mirror—the glass in the roof of a greenhouse which allows the sun's rays to enter but prevents the heat from escaping.
According to a weather expert's prediction, the atmosphere will be 31 warmer in the year 2050 than it is today, if man continues to burn fuels at the present rate. If this warming up took place, the ice caps in the poles would begin to melt, thus raising sea level several meters and severely flooding coastal cities. Also, the increase in atmospheric temperature would lead to great changes in the climate of the northern hemisphere, possibly resulting in an alteration of the earth's chief food-growing zones. In the past, concern about a man-made warming of the earth has concentrated on the Arctic because the Antarctic is much colder and has a much thicker ice sheet. But the weather experts are now paying more attention to West Antarctic, which may be affected by only a few degrees of warming: in other words, by a warming on the scale that will possibly take place in the next fifty years from the burning of fuels.
Satellite pictures show that large areas of Antarctic ice are already disappearing. The evidence available suggests that a warming has taken place. This fits the theory that carbon dioxide warms the earth.
However, most of the fuel is burnt in the northern hemisphere, where temperatures seem to be falling. Scientists conclude, therefore, that up to now natural influences on the weather have exceeded those caused by man. The question is: Which natural cause has most effect on the weather?
One possibility is the variable behavior of the sun. Astronomers at one research station have studied the hot spots and "cold" spots(that is, the relatively less hot spots)on the sun. As the sun rotates, every 27.5 days, it presents hotter or "colder" faces to the earth, and different aspects to different parts of the earth. This seems to have a considerable effect on the distribution of the earth's atmospheric pressure, and consequently on wind circulation. The sun is also variable over a long term: its heat output goes up and down in cycles, the latest trend being downward.
Scientists are now finding mutual relations between models of solar-weather interactions and the actual climate over many thousands of years, including the last Ice Age. The problem is that the models are predicting that the world should be entering a new Ice Age and it is not. One way of solving this theoretical difficulty is to assume a delay of thousands of years while the solar effects overcome the inertia(惯性)of the earth's climate. If this is right, the warming effect of carbon dioxide might thus be serving as a useful counter-balance to the sun's diminishing heat.
单选题 It can be concluded that a concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere would _____.
【正确答案】 D
【答案解析】从第1段对二氧化碳造成温室效应的原理描述,即可判断本题答案为D项。根据第4段第3句“这种情况符合二氧化碳使地球变暖的理论”也可判断D项符合题意。此外,本题也可以根据有关温室效应的常识求解。
单选题 The article was written to explain _____.
【正确答案】 D
【答案解析】文章前半部分(前四段)讲燃烧产生二氧化碳使地球产生温室效应,后半部分(后三段)讲太阳对地球的影响使地球温度降低。尤其值得注意的是第5段提出的问题Which natural cause has most effect on the weather?使我们推断出本文旨在解释影响气候变化的原因。故D项为正确答案。
单选题 Why is the fuel consumption greater in the northern hemisphere, but temperatures there seem to be falling?
【正确答案】 D
【答案解析】从第5段最后一句给出的设问可知,第6段的首句是考点之所在,即:“一种可能性(自然因素)是变化无常的太阳活动。”由此可以判断,D项的内容符合题意。A项说的是人为的因素,即温室效应。事实上,A项和D项是作为两个影响气候的对立因素出现的,同时也是本文论及的两个分话题,由此也可以直接判断D项为正确答案。
单选题 On the basis of their models, scientists are of the opinion that _____.
【正确答案】 A
【答案解析】最后一段的第2句提到“科学家们研究的结果应该是地球进人新的冰川时期,然而却没有出现这种情况”,这与A项的内容吻合。D项为本题的强干扰项,根据文章,该项的含义正确。但就本题而言,题干针对的是models(模型),因而判断范围只能针对solar-weather interactions,即太阳的作用。
单选题 If the assumption about the delay of a new Ice Age is correct, _____.
【正确答案】 D
【答案解析】文章最后一句中的a useful counter-balance是指有益的抵消作用,即二氧化碳产生的热效应可以抵消太阳热量减少使地球变冷的倾向,这对地球的热量平衡是有利的。这与D项的内容相吻合。