【正确答案】
【答案解析】The potential bad loans can be identified from the following warning signals:
Poor management:
—Poor management of the business and its limited ability to cope with the changing environment is the basic cause of business failure.
—Indications of potential business failure involving poor management:
-insufficient managerial personnel at various levels of operations;
-disharmony within the management team;
-chaos caused by major re-organization or relocation;
-over-ambitious expansion of operations;
-lack of financial or operating controls.
Industrial/market conditions:
—Market conditions, such as keen competition among producers, declining market demand and change in the preference of consumers, may lead to business failure:
—Aspects should be paid attention to:
-adverse performance of the company compared to its competitors;
-advanced technology which is expensive to keep up with;
-change in consumers' preferences, tastes or fashion;
-threat caused by new entrants to the market and deteriorating market shares;
-monopoly power created by mergers or acquisitions.
Economic and political conditions:
—The economic and political conditions will largely influence the business.
—Unfavorable situations of a business may be subject to:
-economic slow-down or recession;
-deteriorating political stability;
-adverse conditions due to social unrest and pressure groups' campaigns.
The implications of a client's bank account
—Basically show the background and financial statistics which serve as a primary source for detecting possible problems in a client's financial position.
—Indicators:
-static or hard-core overdraft;
-growing numbers of cheques with "insufficient funds" claimed by the client's customers;
-excessive number of post-dated cheques;
-frequent drawings against uncleared funds;
-frequent excesses over agreed credit limit;
-deficiencies in loan repayments;
-past due import bills;
-unusual increase in credit enquiries concerning the client's account from other banks and financial institutions;
-frequent cheque "kiting".
Financial position
—Financial statements will reflect the deterioration of the company's financial position.
—Any deviation from the norm or market average would be a good indicator reflecting a business financial position.
—Indicators:
-liquidity ratios;
-debt ratios;
-profitability ratios;
-coverage ratios;
-trends over time;
-cash-flow;
-flows of other funds and forecast figures.