An analyst collects the following data on the return on equity (ROE) and the payout ratio for two companies, M and N. Using a required return of 12.4% for both companies, she computes the justified forward P/E ratios, which are also given below.
| Company | Return on equity(%) | Payout ratio (%) | Justified forward P/E |
| M | 12.0 | 130 | 7.5 |
| N | 14.0 | 40 | 10.0 |
If Company M increases its dividend payout ratio to 40% and Company N decreases its dividend payout ratio to 30%, which of the following will most likely occur? The justified P/E ratio of:
A is correct. Dividend growth rate = (1 - Payout ratio) x ROE; Justified forward P/E: P0 /E1 = p/(r - g).
Using the new payout ratios, the justified forward P/Es, calculated below, of both firms would increase.
Company M:
New dividend growth rate = (1 -0.4) ×12% = 7.2%;
New Justified forward P/E = 0.4/(0.124 - 0.072) ≈ 7.7.
Company N:
New dividend growth rate = (1 - 0.3) × 14% = 9.8%;
New Justified forward P/E = 0.3/(0.124 - 0.098) ≈ 11.5.