单选题

An analyst collects the following data on the return on equity (ROE) and the payout ratio for two companies, M and N. Using a required return of 12.4% for both companies, she computes the justified forward P/E ratios, which are also given below.

Company Return on equity(%) Payout ratio (%) Justified forward P/E
M 12.0 130   7.5
N 14.0  40 10.0 

If Company M increases its dividend payout ratio to 40% and Company N decreases its dividend payout ratio to 30%, which of the following will most likely occur? The justified P/E ratio of:

【正确答案】 A
【答案解析】

A is correct. Dividend growth rate = (1 - Payout ratio) x ROE; Justified forward P/E: P0 /E1 = p/(r - g).
Using the new payout ratios, the justified forward P/Es, calculated below, of both firms would increase.
Company M:
New dividend growth rate = (1 -0.4) ×12% = 7.2%;
New Justified forward P/E = 0.4/(0.124 - 0.072) ≈ 7.7.
Company N:
New dividend growth rate = (1 - 0.3) × 14% = 9.8%;
New Justified forward P/E = 0.3/(0.124 - 0.098) ≈ 11.5.