该题选项中两个常用的关键词up和 down在录音中都没有出现，问题本身使 用的outlook也没有出现，所以答题需要识别其同义词及各种替代说法。录音中的 第一个关键性替代说法是作动词使用的contract，即 “ 收缩”，当然也可以理解为 “缩减、减少” ，所以选项B 是正确答案。选项A 中的u p 与 contract意义相反。 选项C 和 D 给的都是背景介绍中的数字，而不是所问的最新的信息，所以都不正确。

[重点难点]
识别down和 contract在涉及数字升降时的同义性。

[录音原文]
The World Bank said that the Russian gross domestic product would contract by 0.6 percent this year, performing better than its earlier prediction of a 1.9-percent contraction. The bank’s revised outlook for this year is more optimistic than its prediction made earlier, of 1.1-percent growth, and also better than the Russian central bank's forecast for growth of less than 1 percent.