问答题 继续上题,请用普通最小二乘法(OLS)与广义最小二乘法(GLS)估计固定影响变系数模型,并对两种估计方法所得估计结果进行比较。
【正确答案】上题中的(1)已经给出了每个公司单个方程的OLS估计,这也就是固定效应变系数模型的OLS估计。也可以在EViews软件中一次估计。在EViews软件中,在出现的pool estimation对话框中,将“Y?”输入到“DependentVariable”栏内,将“X1?X2?”输入到“Cross section specific Coefficients”栏内,在“intercept”选项栏内选择“Fixed effects”,在“Weighting”选项栏内选择“No Weighting”,点击OK按钮后得表8-13。
   为了得到GLS估计,只需在“Weighting”选项栏内选择“Cross section Weights”即可。GLS估计结果如表8-14所示。
   

表8-13

Dependent Variable:Y?

Method:Pooled Least Squares
Variable
Coefficient
Std.Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
_GE--X1_GE
0.026551
0.037881
0.700903
0.4858
_GM--X1_GM
0.119210
0.019083
6.246796
0.0000
_US--X1_US
0.171430
0.052390
3.272221
0.0017
_WEST--X1_WEST
0.053055
0.104485
0.507779
0.6133
_GE--X2_GE
0.151694
0.062553
2.425046
0.0180
_GM--X2_GM
0.371525
0.027401
13.55858
0.0000
_US--X2_US
0.408709
0.102966
3.969367
0.0002
_WEST--X2_WEST
0.091694
0.373394
0.245568
0.8068
Fixed Effects
_GE--C
9.956306
_GM--C
-149.4667
_US--C
50.07804
_WEST--C
0.580403
R-squared
0.951157
Mean dependent var
290.9154
Adjusted R-squared
0.943256
S.D. dependent var
284.8528
S.E. of regression
67.85489
Sum squared resid
313091.5
Log likelihood
-444.4040
F-statistic
189.1733
Durbin-Watson stat
0.974483
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000

   

表8-14

Dependent Variable:Y?

Method:Pooled Least Squares
Variable
Coefficient
Std.Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
_GE--X1_GE
0.026551
0.015566
1.705705
0.0926
_GM--X1_GM
0.119210
0.025804
4.619724
0.0000
_US--X1_US
0.171430
0.073721
2.325409
0.0230
_WEST--X1_WEST
0.053055
0.015708
3.377633
0.0012
_GE--X2_GE
0.151694
0.025704
5.901548
0.0000
_GM--X2_GM
0.371525
0.037052
10.02704
0.0000
_US--X2_US
0.408709
0.144889
2.820836
0.0063
_WEST--X2_WEST
0.091694
0.056135
1.633465
0.1070
Fixed Effects
_GE--C
-9.956306
_GM--C
-149.4667
_US--C
-50.07804
_WEST--C
-0.580403
R-squared
0.857460
Mean dependent var
318.8954
Adjusted R-squared
0.834402
S.D. dependent var
166.7454
S.E. of regression
67.85489
Sum squared resid
3130291.5
Log likelihood
-401.5852
F-statistic
58.43710
Durbin-Watson stat
1.127765
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Unweighted Statistics
R-squared

0.951157

Mean dependent var
290.9154
Adjusted R-squared
0.943256
S.D. dependent var
284.8528
S.E. of regression
67.85489
Sum squared resid
313091.5
Durbin-Watson stat
0.974483    

   可以看出,变系数固定效应模型的OLS估计与GLS估计的参数是相同的,但检验指标不相同。GLS估计显然更有效,如有着更高的t检验值,有着更高的R2等。
【答案解析】