问答题
PZK Co, whose home currency is the dollar, trades regularly with customers in a number of different countries. The company expects to receive €1,200,000 in six months’ time from a foreign customer. Current exchange rates in the home country of PZK Co are as follows:
Spot exchange rate: 4.1780–4.2080 euros per $
Six-month forward exchange rate: 4.2302–4.2606 euros per $
Twelve-month forward exchange rate: 4.2825–4.3132 euros per $
Required:
问答题
(a) Calculate the loss or gain compared to its current dollar value which PZK Co will incur by taking out a forward exchange contract on the future euro receipt, and explain why taking out a forward exchange contract may be preferred by PZK Co to not hedging the future euro receipt.(4 marks)
【正确答案】The current dollar value of the future euro receipt = €1,200,000/4·2080 = $285,171
If a forward contract is taken out, PZK Co can lock into the six-month forward exchange rate of 4·2606 euros per dollar.
Future dollar value using the forward contract = €1,200,000/4·2606 = $281,651
Loss using the forward contract = 285,171 – 281,651 = $3,520
If PZK Co chooses not to hedge the future euro receipt, it will be able to exchange the euros for dollars at the future spot exchange rate prevailing when the payment is made. This future spot exchange rate may give a better or worse dollar value than using the six-month forward exchange rate. At the current time, PZK Co may prefer the certainty offered by the forward exchange contract to the uncertainty of leaving the future euro receipt unhedged. In addition, the forward exchange rate is an unbiased estimator of the future spot exchange rate.
【答案解析】
问答题
(b) If the interest rate in the home country of PZK Co is 4% per year, calculate the annual interest rate in the foreign customer’s country implied by the spot exchange rate and the twelve-month forward exchange rate.(2 marks)
【正确答案】The implied interest rate in the foreign country can be calculated using interest rate parity.
【答案解析】
问答题
(c) Discuss whether PZK Co should avoid exchange rate risk by invoicing foreign customers in dollars.(4 marks)
【正确答案】One of the simplest ways for PZK Co to avoiding exchange rate risk is to invoice in its home currency, which passes the exchange rate risk on to the foreign customer, who must effectively find the dollars with which to make the payment.
This strategy may not be commercially viable, however, since the company’s foreign customers will not want to take on the exchange rate risk. They will instead transfer their business to those competitors of PZK Co who invoice in the foreign currency and who therefore shoulder the exchange rate risk.
If PZK Co is concerned about exchange rate risk, it will need to consider other hedging methods. For example, if the company regularly receives receipts and makes payments in euros, it could open a bank account denominated in euros.