单选题 While the ripples of America's subprime-mortgage crisis have spread far and wide, Latin America—a place long associated with financial disaster—has remained improbably calm. Banks have reported no unpleasant surprises. Brazil and Peru have been blessed with coveted investment-grade ratings. Surprisingly, perhaps the fleetest country of all has been Argentina. Since it emerged from the financial crisis of 2001-02, it has been one of the world's fastest-growing economies. It is expected to expand faster than most of its neighbors again this year.
Quite simply, it barely has any credit. Back when its economy virtually collapsed, the country suffered a run on its banks, followed by a freeze on withdrawals, and a massive currency devaluation. As a result, bank lending to the private sector shrivelled, from 23.8% of GDP in 2000 to 10.8% in 2003. Since then, it has rebounded to a piddling 13% ; by contrast, the ratio in Brazil was 36.5% in 2006. Almost all of these loans in Argentina are accessible only on a short-term basis.
Once its recovery began in June 2002, Argentina became a paradise for business. Unemployment of over 20% kept wages down, and the devaluation gave exporters an edge on foreign competitors. The ample productive capacity left idle by the crisis meant firms could expand without making big investments. And the windfall profits reaped by agricultural exporters, thanks to record commodities prices, enabled many of them to finance new projects out of earnings. Hence the economy could grow at almost 9% a year with little need for credit.
But such a lucky confluence of factors could not last. Starting in early 2005 ,.inflation picked up, a sign that the installed capacity was starting to limit output. Salaries and prices for raw materials increased sharply, cutting into profits. And farmers were particularly hard hit when the government nearly doubled the taxes in farm exports. Now, just as companies need to embark on big investments if they are to keep growing, their margins are no longer big enough to pay for the expansion and they need to borrow.
So, the time is ripe for the country's financial system to recover. But a number of things are in the way. Foremost is Argentina's business risk. Those in the informal economy (which represents over 40% of GDP) can neither save nor borrow legally, lest they become known to the taxmen. The rest remain cowed by memories of the crisis. Although Argentines have poured their savings into property, fuelling a construction boom, they still hold about four-fifths of their deposits abroad.
Inflation, fuelled by a public-spending binge, state-mandated wage increases, and a cheap currency, is not helping either. No one knows how high it is. The consumer-price index is doctored to keep the official rate below 10%, but private estimates suggest it is near 25%. Without a reliable index of inflation, lending is almost impossible, even for the medium term. And the central bank has kept interest rates strongly negative in real terms, encouraging workers to spend their wages rather than to save.

单选题 It can be inferred from the first paragraph that______.
【正确答案】 C
【答案解析】[考点] 推理判断
[解析]第一段提到美国次贷危机危及全球,阿根廷经济是表现最好的,但并非只有阿根廷没受影响,而是整个拉美都没怎么受影响,只不过相比之下,阿根廷一枝独秀。原文提到自从阿根廷摆脱了200l到2002年的那场金融危机,其经济就发展较快。这就清楚表明了从2001到2002年,阿根廷遭受了金融危机,因此选项C符合题意,是正确选项。
[干扰项分析] 原文提到在美国次贷危机之机,“拉美这个历来与金融灾难伴行的地区却看似平静”,因此选项A、B与原文意思正好相反。另外,原文提到阿根廷是世界上发展最快的经济之一,并没有指出阿根廷的经济增长是世界上最快的。另外,凭借常识考生也应当知道阿根廷的发展速度应该不会比中国和印度快。选项D属于典型的将原文事实夸大,具有一定的迷惑性。
单选题 Argentina's economy began its recovery in 2002. According to the text, which of the following is not the reason?
【正确答案】 B
【答案解析】[考点] 事实细节
[解析]原文第三段的第一句话“自2002年6月经济开始复苏”表明了这一段的主要内容是分析阿根廷经济复苏,这样我们可以轻松定位到第三段。第三段论述了阿根廷经济复苏的两个主要原因:货币贬值让出口增加,劳动力闲置(失业率高)让工资水平较低从而降低了商业发展的成本。选项B正好与原文表达的“大量劳动力闲置(失业率高)”思想相反,因此是正确选项。
[干扰项分析] 选项A、C原文都有明确表示,选项D实际上也在原文有所提及,只不过原文是“创记录的商品价格”,部分考生不清楚创记录的到底是高还是低,但结合该句的语境“农业出口商由于创记录的商品价格而大发横财”,我们不难判断应当是创记录得低。本国货币贬值,会造成本国出口的商品价格下降,因此让农业出口商大发横财。故选项D所表达的意思也是阿根廷经济复苏的原因之一。
单选题 According to the author, Argentina's financial recovery has been blocked because______.
【正确答案】 D
【答案解析】[考点] 事实细节
[解析]文章第五段的首句“国家金融系统复苏的时机成熟了,然而一系列的因素挡住了道路”,清楚表明了该段的内容主要是论述阻挡阿根廷金融复苏的因素;另外,最后一段第一句话的“either”一词也清楚表明了是承接第五段内容。换言之,我们可以判断出。,本题的主要内容应当定位在第五段和第六段。第五段提到了阿根廷的商业危机影响金融复苏,具体说来,原因如下:为了避税,很多企业都是非法企业,因此无法借贷;剩下一些合法的企业对2001到2002年那场经济危机仍然心有余悸,不敢借贷;阿根廷有大量资金放在海外。选项D正好对应原文“The rest remain cowed by memories of the crisis”,表达了第二个具体原因,因此是正确选项。
[干扰项分析] 文章第五段提到了两种企业,非法企业为了避税不能借贷,合法企业担心经济危机不敢借贷。也就是说合法企业还是要交税的,所以选项A不符合原文。文章虽然提到了阿根廷人将大量资金放在海外,但并没有进一步指出这个原因造成了银行没钱借出来,因此选项B属于将原文意思过度引申夸大,不符合原文。选项C在文章中根本没有提及。
单选题 There is no reliable index of inflation, because______.
【正确答案】 C
【答案解析】[考点] 事实细节
[解析]通过问题题干出现的关键词index,我们很容易就把答案定位到最后一段。文章最后一段中的doctor是解题的关键,doctor当动词用于被动语态“is doctored”时,意思为“修改的,篡改的,操控的”,原文提到两个截然不同的通货膨胀指数,政府的10%和民间的25%,并指出了政府的指数被doctored,言下之意政府的指数靠不住,从下文的“缺少可靠的通货膨胀指数,人们几乎不可能借贷”,我们可以看出作者对民间的指数也缺乏信任。因此选项C符合原文,是正确答案。
[干扰项分析] 选项A是通货膨胀带来的恶果,跟统计通货膨胀指数没有直接关系,应该排除。原文提到了官方和民间两个不同的数据,并没有提出具体的统计方法,更没有说明统计方法不同而带来不同结果,因此选项B不符合原文。原文提到“中央银行维持低利率”,说明政府鼓励消费,消费的热潮进而促使了通货膨胀,这跟通货膨胀指数的统计并没有关系,因此选项D也应该排除。
单选题 what is the main idea of the text?
【正确答案】 B
【答案解析】[考点] 主旨大意
[解析]本文属于典型的现象分析型文章。阿根廷经济一枝独秀只是一种现象,必须与文章首句的美国次贷危机相结合。本文第二段的首句就指出了阿根廷经济不受次贷危机影响,维持较快发展势头是因为阿根廷没什么贷款。换言之,借贷在阿根廷经济发展中并不扮演重要角色,没有借贷照样发展,而文章余下部分都是围绕这一观点进行具体分析。选项B没有出现credit一词,但凭借常识考生应当知道所谓banking sector and capital markets就是指借贷,因为我们借贷就是从bank那儿借,而我们借钱还钱的市场就是capital markets。况且,第一段讨论次贷危机时就提到“银行业并没什么令人不快的意外”,也充分说明了银行业与借贷之间的关系。所谓令人不快的意外,就是指还款人无法按期还款,导致银行业受损。因此选项B符合题意,是正确答案。
[干扰项分析] 原文要表达的是在阿根廷经济中,借贷所起作用不大,并没有指出借贷在所有经济中所起作用都不大,而且倘若借贷在各国经济中起的作用都不大,那么美国的次贷危机就不会席卷全球了。因此选项A是将阿根廷的个例放大,不符合原文。选项C、D在原文中都有提及,但并不是本文的中心思想,这两个选项属于典型的将局部事实放大成文章主旨,因此应该排除。