We're moving into another era, as the toxic(有毒的) effects of the bubble(泡沫) and its grave consequences spread through the financial system. Just a couple of years ago investors dreamed of 20 percent returns forever. Now surveys show that they're down to a "realistic" 8 percent to 10 percent range. But what if the next few years turn out to be below normal expectations? Martin Barners of the Bank Credit Analyst in Montreal expects future stock returns to average just 4 percent to 6 percent. Sound impossible? After a much smaller bubble that burst in the mid-1960s Standard & Poor's 5000 stock average returned 6.9 percent a year (with dividends reinvested) for the following 17 years. Few investors are prepared for that. Right now denial seems to be the attitude of choice. That's typical, says Lori Lucas of Hewitt, the consulting firm. You hate to look at your investments when they're going down. Hewitt tracks 500,000 401 (k) accounts every day, and finds that savers are keeping their contributions up. But they're much less inclined to switch their money around. "It's the slot-machine (老虎机) effect," Lucas says. "People get more interested in playing when they think they've got a hot machine"—and nothing's hot today. The average investor feels overwhelmed. Against all common sense, many savers still shut their eyes to the dangers of owning too much company stock. In big companies last year, a surprising 29 percent of employees held at least three quarters of their 402 (k) in their own stock. Younger employees may have no choice. You often have to wait until you're 50 or 55 before you can sell any company stock you get. But instead of getting out when they can, old participants have been holding, too. One third of the people 60 and up chose company stock for three quarters of their plan, Hewitt reports. Are they inattentive? Loyal excessively? Sick? It's as if Lucent, Enron and Xerox never happened. No investor should give his or her total trust to any particular company's stock. And while you're at it, think how you'd be if future stock returns—averaging good years and bad—are as poor as Barnes predicts. If you ask me, diversified stocks remain good for the long run, with a backup in bonds. But I, too, am figuring on reduced returns. What a shame. Dear bubble, I'll never forget. It's the end of a grand affair.
单选题 The investors' judgment of the present stock returns seems to be_________.
【正确答案】 A
【答案解析】解析:细节题。第一段提到,投资者几年前的梦想是永远拿到20%的(股票投资)回报。现在调查显示它降到了“现实的”8%至10%的范围。第二段作者先提出疑问:但是如果未来几年里这个值低于正常的期望呢?接着以银行信用分析家Martin Barners和标准普尔5 000指数为例指出,未来股票投资回报率必然是下降的。第二段末句作者指出,很少有投资者为此做好了准备。由此可推出,面对股票投资回报下降的趋势,投资者的判断是不够现实的,是幻想的。另外,第一段的dreamed of、realistic的引号,以及第二段sound impossible后面的问号也都暗示了这一点。因此A项为正确答案。
单选题 In face of the current stock market, most stock-holders_________.
【正确答案】 D
【答案解析】解析:细节题。第四段第一句提到,许多投资者(savers)对拥有太多公司股票的危险视而不见。D项是该句的改写,其中turn a deaf ear对应原文中的shut their eyes to,the warning对应the dangers。第三段作者通过休伊特(Hewitt)咨询公司的职员的介绍说明,投资者仍在不断地投钱(keeping their contributions up),而他们不太愿意把资金转投其他地方(less inclined to switch their money around)。由此排除A项和C项。第三段末句“投资者普遍感到吃惊(overwhelmed)”指的就是持股者对股市不景气的反应。因此B项与事实不符。
单选题 In the author's opinion, employees should_________.
【正确答案】 B
【答案解析】解析:细节题。第五段中作者提到,年轻的雇员没有选择,只能等到50岁或55岁才能卖掉公司的股票。第六段则提到,而老雇员在能够退出(getting out)的时候却没有。60岁及以上的人中1/3选择公司股票作为他们3/4的投资计划。该段末句作者连续用几个问号对这种作法进行了质疑:难道他们疏忽了?过度忠诚?疾病?由此我们可推出作者的观点是反对投资自己公司的做法。因此B项正确,排除A项。第七段首句作者则提到,投资者不应该完全信任任何一家公司的股票。因此D项是作者反对的。C项文中未提。
单选题 It can be inferred from the text that Lucent, Enron and Xerox are names of_________.
【正确答案】 B
【答案解析】解析:推理题。题干中的几个专有名词出现在第六段末,该句用虚拟语气指出,就好像朗讯、安然和施乐的事情从来未发生过一样。联系上下文,上文作者对雇员购买公司股票的行为表示质疑,下文则提出不应完全信任任何一家公司。由此可推出,这是三家作为反面例子的公司,由于它们的破产,使持有这些公司股票的人受到很大的损失。B项最恰当。
单选题 The author's attitude towards the long-term investors' decision is__________.
【正确答案】 A
【答案解析】解析:态度题。最后一段作者给出了自己对股票投资的看法:多样股可以长期地保持稳定,再加上债券的支持。可见,作者鼓励投资者作长期考虑。上文中作者对投资公司股票行为的警告也是在劝告投资人不要抱有一劳永逸的想法,要有长期的计划,预期可能出现的风险。所以,A为正确选项。