单选题

Which of the following would be most useful as a leading indicator to signal the start of an economic recovery?

A、 An increase in aggregate real personal income (less transfer payments)
B、 A decrease in average weekly initial claims for unemployment insurance
C、 The narrowing of the spread between the 10-year Treasury yield and the federal funds rate

【正确答案】 B

【答案解析】

B is correct. Average weekly initial claims for unemployment insurance is a leading indicator of economic activity and a decrease in it is an indicator of rehiring at the start of a recovery.