Schooling and Development
I will illustrate the variety of approaches to development issues that microeconomists have employed by focusing on studies that illuminate and quantify the major mechanisms posited by growth theorists who highlight the role of education in fostering growth. For example, Lucas (1988) emphasizes the role of education by stressing the importance of learning externalities. But what evidence do we have for these? Theories of long-run growth that span the pre- and post-Industrial Revolution focus on the interaction between technical change and schooling. Lucas (2002) and Galor and Weft (2000) explain the shift from a stagnant world in a Malthusian equilibrium to one of sustained growth as the result of technical change inducing investments in schooling which leads to a shift to smaller families. Nelson and Phelps (1966) suggest that a major mechanism by which poor countries develop is through technological transfer, and hypothesize that schooling facilitates such transfers because it improves the ability to master technology. Some key questions suggested by these models are: (ⅰ ) what is the contribution of schooling to productivity in low-income countries? (ⅱ ) does technical change raise schooling returns, and for whom? (ⅲ) does learning play an important role in adopting and adapting to technical change? (ⅳ) how important are learning and thus schooling externalities? and, (ⅴ ) does schooling investment respond to variation in returns, whatever their source, or are there important barriers to human capital investment when returns are high?
I begin with a basic issue: what are the returns to schooling? A standard approach in economics has been to use regressions with wages as the dependent variable and a measure of education as a regressor to estimate the returns from schooling. I will argue that this approach is problematical for identifying the contribution of schooling to productivity in a development context, and is particularly inadequate for exploring the ways in which education might affect conditions for economic growth. I then discuss microeconomic studies that estimate returns from schooling using alternative approaches, looking at inferences based on how education interacts with policy changes, with technology change, and with the marriage market. I then turn to the 4 questions of whether schooling merely imparts knowledge or whether it also facilitates learning particularly in setting undergoing technical change and whether there is social learning that gives rise to educational externalities. I next examine studies that address the question of the responsiveness of educational investments to changes in schooling returns and whether and where there exist important barriers to such investments when returns appear to justify their increase. I end with brief reflection.
无学校教育和发展
我将举例说明发展问题方法的多样性,微观经济学家通过紧扣那些说明并量化主要机制的研究运用发展问题,这些主要机制是由强调教育对经济增长起促进作用的理论家假定的。例如,卢卡斯(1988)通过强调外在学习的重要性强调教育的作用。但我们有什么证据证明这些呢?跨越前后工业革命时代的长期经济增长理论把重点放在技术变革和教育之间的相互作用上。卢卡斯(2002)、加勒和纬纱(2000)解释了在马尔萨斯均衡中从停滞的世界到一种持续增长的转变是由于技术变化引起对教育的投资,从而进一步导致更小家庭的变化。纳尔逊和菲尔普斯(1966年)认为,贫穷国家发展的主要机制是通过技术转移,并假定教育促进了这种转移,因为教育提高了人们掌握技术的能力。这些模型提出了一些关键的问题:(1)学校教育对低收入国家的生产力的贡献是什么?(2)技术变革是否提高教育回报,为谁提高了?(3)学习是否在采用和适应技术变革中发挥了重要作用?(4)学习和教育外部性有多重要?(5)不论其来源,教育投资能否应对投资回报变化,或者当回报高时,人力资本投资会有障碍吗?
我从一个基本问题开始:教育回报是什么?经济学中的一个标准的方法是将工资作为因变量、教育作为回归量进行回归分析,以估计学校教育的回报。我认为,这种做法对识别教育对生产力发展方面的贡献是有问题的,尤其无法满足对教育如何影响经济增长条件的探索。接下来,我所讨论的微观经济研究,是用不同的方法估计学校教育的回报,在教育如何与政策变化、技术变化、婚姻市场的相互作用的基础上得出推论。之后我又思考了以下4个问题,教育是否只是传授知识,教育是否也有助于学习,特别是在经历技术变革的时候,能引起教育的外部性的社会学习是否存在。接下来,我查看的研究资料解决了教育投入在教育收益率变化反应性问题,以及当回报似乎证明了他们的增加时,对这些投资回报的重要障碍是否存在,和存在的障碍在哪儿的问题。我以简短的评论结束(文章)。