A group of scientists known for their skepticism about climate change has reanalysed two centuries' worth of global temperature records. Their study largely confirms previous ones: it finds strong evidence that Earth is getting hotter.
"The valid issues raised by climate skeptics, when addressed fully and in detail, do not significantly change the answer," says lead author Richard Muller of the University of California, Berkeley. In a testimony (证据) to the US Congress earlier this year, Muller questioned whether global temperature records showed a significant warming during the 20th century. His project, the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST), has now pulled together global temperature data going back to 1800 from 15 sources, including data sets held by the World Meteorological Organization and US and UK government agencies.
BEST concludes that land temperatures have risen by 1°C since the 1950s. This is largely in line with the three existing global temperature records: GISTEMP, maintained by NASA, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's GHCN and HadCRU, kept by the UK Met Office. The 1°C of warming reflects warming above land masses only, so it is not yet a truly global estimate.
In a series of papers that have not yet been estimated but are available on the BEST website, the researchers examine how reliable the temperature data is. Contrary to earlier studies that are often quoted by climate skeptics, the BEST researchers find that including data from weather stations in cities—which are warmer than rural areas—makes little difference to the overall trend. "Urban warming doesn't unduly (过分地) bias estimates of recent global temperature change," they say.
Blogger Anthony Watts of Watts Up With That has repeatedly claimed that temperature data is unreliable because weather stations are poorly placed—for instance, next to air-conditioning vents or other heat sources. However, BEST finds no statistically significant difference in the trends seen at well-placed and poorly placed stations.
单选题 What do some skeptical scientists find?
【正确答案】 C
【答案解析】由题干中的skeptical scientists定位到第一段。该段指出怀疑气候变化的科学家们重新分析了两个世纪的全球气温记录,他们的研究在很大程度上证实了以前的研究,那就是他们找到了地球正在变暖的有力证据,由此可以判断C)正确。
单选题 Which data is included in Richard Muller's research project?
【正确答案】 B
【答案解析】由题干中的data和Richard Muller's research project可以定位到原文第二段第三句。该句指出穆勒的研究项目综合了全球15个来源的气温数据,这些数据可以追溯到1800年,因此B)为正确选项。
单选题 Why is BEST's estimate not truly global?
【正确答案】 A
【答案解析】由题干中的BEST和truly global定位到原文第三段。该段第一句提到伯克利地球表面温度(BEST)项目总结得出陆地温度自20世纪50年代以来升高了1℃的结论。该段最后一句则提到,温度升高了1℃只能表明陆地温度的升高,所以这个结论还不是真正全球性的估计。因此,A)为正确选项。
单选题 Which is the contrary finding of the BEST researchers?
【正确答案】 C
【答案解析】由题干中的contrary finding和BEST researchers定位到第四段第二句。该句提到与气候怀疑论者们常用来引证的早期研究相悖的是,伯克利地球表面温度(BEST)项目的研究者们发现数据中包括比农村地区温暖的城市气象站的数据也不会对整体趋势产生太大的影响,C)是对该句的同义转述。
单选题 According to Blogger Anthony Watts, why is temperature data unreliable?
【正确答案】 D
【答案解析】由题干中的Blogger Anthony Watts 和temperature data unreliable定位到第五段第一句。该句说明了气温数据不可靠是因为那些气象站的位置都不合适,D)是对该句的同义转述。