英译汉

Just as in America, in Britain too the story told by official statistics does not always match people’s lived experience. That is especially true in places like Newcastle, a former shipbuilding city, which lost out to competition from Asia in the 1970s and has seen living standards stagnate ever since. The U.S. economy, we are told, is booming. In the past two quarters, gross domestic product has risen by more than 3%, the stock market is soaring and unemployment is down to a 17-year low of 4.1%. Many people, though, don’t feel that upside.The perception gap is huge. Unemployment, more broadly measured, is higher than the headline number suggests because many people have simply given up looking for work or are working in part-time jobs when they want a full-time job. One of the prime faults of GDP is that it deals in averages and aggregates. Aggregates hide the nuances of inequality. And averages don’t tell us very much at all. Barring a few recessions, the U.S. economy has been on a near relentless upward path since the 1950s. Yet according to a Pew Research Center report, the average hourly wage for nonmanagement private-sector work was $20.67 in 2014, a measly $1.49 higher than in 1964, adjusted for inflation.

Studies suggest that people care more about relative than absolute wealth. If that is true, then as a minority have become richer, the majority have grown more miserable. In a famous experiment carried out at Emory University, two capuchin monkeys were put side by side and given cucumbers as a reward for performing a task. When one of the monkeys was given better-tasting grapes instead, the monkey receiving cucumbers became distraught, flinging its now despised reward at its trainer. The problems with using GDP as a barometer go beyond masking inequality. Invented in the U.S. in the 1930s, the figure is a child of the manufacturing age–good at measuring physical production but not the services that dominate modern economies. How would GDP measure the quality of mental-health care or the availability of day-care centers and parks in your area? Even the Belarusian economist who practically invented GDP, had doubts about his creation. He did not like the fact that it counted armaments and financial speculation as positive outputs. Above all, he said, GDP should never be confused with well-being. That suggests we need to find different ways of measuring our success. For the most part, we have become enraptured with a single measure that offers only limited information.

【正确答案】

正如在美国一样,在英国,官方统计数据所讲述的故事也并不总是与人们的生活经历相吻合。这在纽卡斯尔(Newcastle)等地尤其如此,纽卡斯尔曾是一座造船城市,上世纪70年代曾在亚洲竞争中失利,此后生活水平一直停滞不前。我们被告知,美国经济正在蓬勃发展。过去两个季度,中国国内生产总值(GDP)增长超过3%,股市飙升,失业率降至17年来最低的4.1%。不过,很多人并没有这种感觉,他们的感知差距很大。从更广泛的角度来看,失业率高于总体数字,因为许多人只是放弃找工作,或是在想找一份全职工作时从事兼职工作。GDP的一个主要缺点是它处理的是平均值和总量。聚合隐藏了不平等的细微差别。平均数根本不能告诉我们多少。除非出现几次衰退,美国经济自20世纪50年代以来一直处于近乎无情的上升通道上。但根据皮尤研究中心(Pew Research Center)的一份报告,2014年非管理性私营部门工作的平均小时工资为20.67美元,比1964年经通胀调整后仅高出1.49美元。

研究表明人们更关心相对财富而不是绝对财富。如果这是真的,那么作为少数人变得更富有,大多数人变得更悲惨。在埃默里大学进行的一项著名实验中,两只卷尾猴被并排放在一起,给它们黄瓜作为完成任务的奖励。当其中一只猴子被给予更好的品尝葡萄的机会时,接受黄瓜的猴子变得心烦意乱,把它现在被鄙视的奖励扔给了它的驯兽师。使用GDP作为晴雨表的问题不仅仅是掩盖不平等。这个数字是20世纪30年代在美国发明的,它是制造业时代的产物——擅长测量物质生产,但不擅长测量主宰现代经济的服务业。国内生产总值如何衡量你所在地区的精神卫生保健质量或日托中心和公园的可用性?就连几乎创造了GDP的白俄罗斯经济学家也对自己的创造产生了怀疑。他不喜欢它把军备和金融投机当作积极的产出。他说,最重要的是,GDP永远不应与幸福感混淆。这表明我们需要找到不同的方法来衡量我们的成功。在很大程度上,我们已经被一个只提供有限信息的单一措施所吸引。

【答案解析】