单选题     The report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics was just as gloomy as anticipated. Unemployment in January jumped to a 16-year high of 7.6 percent, as 598,000 jobs were slashed from U.S. payrolls in the worst single-month decline since December, 1974. With 1.8 million jobs lost in the last three months, there is urgent desire to boost the economy as quickly as possible. But Washington would do well to take a deep breath before reacting to the grim numbers.
    Collectively, we rely on the unemployment figures and other statistics to frame our sense of reality. They are a vital part of an array of data that we use to assess if we're doing well or doing badly, and that in turn shapes government policies and corporate budgets and personal spending decisions. The problem is that the statistics aren't an objective measure of reality; they are simply a best approximation. Directionally, they capture the trends, but the idea that we know precisely how many are unemployed is a myth. That makes finding a solution all the more difficult.
    First, there is the way the data is assembled. The official unemployment rate is the product of a telephone survey of about 60,000 homes. There is another survey, sometimes referred to as the 'payroll survey,' that assesses 400,000 businesses based on their reported payrolls. Both surveys have problems. The payroll survey can easily, double-count someone: if you are one person with two jobs, you show up as two workers. The payroll survey also doesn't capture the number of self-employed, and so says little about how many people are generating an independent income.
    The household survey has a larger problem. When asked straightforwardly, people tend to lie or shade the truth when the subject is sex, money or employment. If you get a call and are asked if you're employed, and you say yes, you're employed. If you say no, however, it may surprise you to learn that you are only unemployed if you've been actively looking for work in the past four weeks; otherwise, you are 'marginally attached to the labor force' and not actually unemployed.
    The urge to quantify is embedded in our society. But the idea that statisticians can then capture an objective reality isn't just impossible. It also leads to serious misjudgments. Democrats and Republicans can and will take sides on a number of issues, but a more crucial concern is that both are basing major policy decisions on guesstimates rather than looking at the vast wealth of raw data with a critical eye and an open mind.
单选题     What do we learn from the first paragraph? ______
 
【正确答案】 A
【答案解析】根据题干要求定位到第一段。 该段一开始就说到美国糟糕的就业形势,1月份的失业率达到了16年来的最高水平,是自1974年12月以来单月减少最多的一个月,且在过去的3个月里有180万人失业,从失业率的增加可以看出,美国的经济形势变糟,所以选A。 该段最后一句说,华盛顿方面最好在应对残酷的失业率之前,先深吸一口气,可见应对措施并没有在实施当中,故排除B“华盛顿方面正采取激烈的措施来提供更多的工作岗位”。C“美国政府正削减更多的就业岗位”是对第二句提到的59.8万个就业机会被削减的曲解,予以排除。而D“最近的经济危机让美国措手不及”与原文第一句的“正如预料的”相悖,故排除。
单选题     What does the author think of the unemployment figures and other statistics? ______
 
【正确答案】 D
【答案解析】根据题干中的unemployment figures and other statistics定位到第二段。 本题询问作者对于失业数字及其他统计数据的看法。该段在后面提到这些数据的问题所在之一:不是对现实的客观衡量,只是最佳近似值而已。所以据此得出,D“这些数据不能完全地反映现实情况”为正确答案。 原文只是提到,这些数据会影响政府决策、公司预算和个人支出决定。A“它们为制定决策奠定了坚实的基础”属于过度推断。第三句说到,这些统计数据并不是对现实的客观衡量,可见B“它们代表了当前的形势”也不准确。第四句只是提出,这些数据能反映趋势,反映和预示是两码事,C“它们预示未来的经济趋势”属于过度推断。
单选题     One problem with the payroll survey is that ______.
 
【正确答案】 B
【答案解析】根据题干中的problem和payroll survey定位到第3段第5、6句。 本题询问工资单调查的问题之一是什么。该段5、6句讲到了工资单调查的两个问题:一是很容易把某人重复计算;二是无法获知个体经营者的数量。B“它不能把个体经营者算进去”属于问题之一,为本题答案。 A“它没有包含所有的行业”,C“它夸大了失业者的人数”,D“它没有平等地对待所有的公司”都没有被列在原文的problems中,予以排除。
单选题     The household survey can be faulty in that ______.
 
【正确答案】 C
【答案解析】根据题干中的household survey和faulty定位到第四段。 本题询问家庭调查会出错的原因。该段开头就提出,家庭调查有一个更大的问题。当被直接询问有关性、钱和工作的话题时,人们往往会选择说谎或者遮掩事实。可见C“有些人不会提供真实的信息”正确。 原文只是提到,当问到某些话题时,人们往往会选择说谎,没指明是在打电话时还是当面询问,所以A“人们在电话里容易撒谎”不准确。B“并非每个人都愿意或乐于回答问题”在原文中没有提及。D“对失业的定义太宽泛”并不属于事实。该段最后一句讲明失业的定义:只有在过去的4周积极求职(而没有得到工作),才算失业;否则,你就是“游荡在劳动力市场的边缘”,并不算失业。
单选题     At the end of the passage, the author suggests that ______.
 
【正确答案】 B
【答案解析】根据题干提示定位到最后一段。 该段最后一句说,民主党人和共和党人的重大决策都是基于猜测,而并非基于用批判的眼光和开放的思维来审阅大量的原始数据资料。那么作者的言下之意是,民主党和共和党的这些决策者们应该用批判的眼光和开放的思维看待这些数据,故B正确。 A“统计学家们应改善数据收集方法”,作者没有提出这样的建议。C“政治家在决策前应倾听更多(的声音)”和D“民主党人和共和党人在一些关键问题上进行合作”都在原文中找不到依据。