美国民主制度好似外表光鲜的舞台,各路政客你方唱罢我登场,但无论表演多么精彩,都难掩许多长期的严重积弊和始终难以解决的无奈现实。法国《世界报》指出,2022年是美国民主经历怀疑的一年,一场无声的内战已在美国扎根,修复受损的民主需要国家意识和公共利益意识,但目前两者都缺乏,对美国这样一个长期自视为典范的国家来说实属悲哀。瑞典智库“国际民主及选举协助研究所”2022年将美国列入“退步的民主国家名单”。
2021年1月6日发生的美国国会暴乱已过去两年,但美国的民主体系并未也难以真正吸取教训,政治暴力还在发展恶化。《华盛顿邮报》《纽约客》指出,美国民主正处于前所未有的糟糕状态,国会暴乱事件充分暴露出社会撕裂、政治分裂以及虚假信息大行其道。国会两党虽然都意识到美式民主的陈年弊病,但在日益极化的党派政治氛围中,出于各自利益,都缺乏革新决心和魄力。
2022年,美国国会再度瘫痪,原因不是因为暴乱,而是源于党派恶斗。第118届国会众议长难产闹剧连演4天,最终历经15轮投票才选出众议长。在最后一轮表决中,共和党、民主党分化决裂,票只投给自己人。《纽约时报》称,美国国会未来两年还可能反复陷入这种混乱状态。美国一家政治咨询公司主席布拉德·班农直言:“众议院在此次风波中闹得一团糟,再次表明美国政治机构在衰落。”
美国各界也忧心忡忡。布鲁金斯学会2022年发布报告指出,曾经引以为荣的美国民主制度面临系统性危机,正加速走向衰败,对国内政治、经济、社会的影响已从局部走向整体,将对资本主义的合法性和未来发展带来严重危害。卡内基国际和平基金会报告称,美国民主制度正随着美式资本主义固有弊病的加重而加速衰落,处于危险转折点。投票限制、选举舞弊、政府失信等多重挑战将加速美国民主解体。欧亚集团总裁伊恩·布雷默撰文指出,美国民主制度功能失调使人们担忧2024年总统大选可能再度引发暴力事件。大量社会热点问题持续引发公众愤怒和对美国政治机构合法性的质疑,不少民众担心如此下去不知美国民主制度还能正常运转多久。
The functioning of American democratic institutions may look as lively as a circus, with politicians of all stripes showing off themselves one after another. But however boisterous the show is, it cannot hide the lethargy in addressing the long-standing, grave problems. Le Monde points out that 2022 is a year of doubt for US democracy. A silent civil war has taken root in the US, and repairing damaged democracy requires a sense of nation and public interest, both of which are currently lacking. This is sad for a country that has long held itself up as a model. In 2022, the Swedish think tank International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance added the US to its “list of regressive democracies”.
Two years after the Capitol riots on 6 January 2021, the US system of democracy still has difficulty in learning the lessons, as political violence continued to grow and deteriorate. The Washington Post and The New Yorker observe that American democracy is in a worse state than ever before, with the congressional riots fully exposing social rifts, political divisions and rampant misinformation. The two parties, although not unaware of the age-old ills of American democracy, have neither the resolve nor the courage to pursue changes, given the increasingly polarized political atmosphere, as well as their focus on party interests.
In 2022, the US Congress was brought into another paralysis, not by riots, but by partisan fights. The farce of failing to elect the 118th House speaker lasted four days and a decision was only reached after 15 rounds of voting. In the last round, divisions were such that Republicans and Democrats voted strictly along party lines. The New York Times warned that Congress could see repeated chaos like this over the next two years. Brad Bannon, president of a US political consultancy, put it bluntly, “The impasse in the US House of Representatives over the election of the Speaker is another demonstration of the decline in our political institutions.”
This has aroused concerns among the general public. The Brookings Institution concludes in a 2022 report that the once proud American democracy is facing a systemic crisis and is accelerating its decline. The impact is spreading to all fronts in domestic politics, the economy and society, posing a mortal threat to the legitimacy and health of capitalism. The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace warns in a report that American democracy is at a dangerous inflection point, declining faster as the inherent ills of American capitalism worsen. Multiple challenges such as voting restrictions, election fraud, and loss of trust in government are accelerating the disintegration of American democracy. Ian Bremmer, president of the Eurasia Group, writes that America’s dysfunctional politics raises fears that the 2024 presidential election would again provoke deadly violence in the country. A large number of hot button issues continued to provoke public anger and questions on the legitimacy of the US political establishment. Many worried about how long American democracy could continue to function.