Many philosophers, both Western and Eastern, agree that there are two major problems of induction. The first is the lack of certainty of conclusions drawn by means of induction that is inherent in inductive methods. The second is the extent to which we humans ignore the important issue of whether we are justified in believing something that is based only on inductively derived conclusions. This is art important issue both scientifically and socially. Any jury decision, for example, is arrived at by inductive means from evidence presented by prosecutors relying on police who arrested suspects based on their own use of inductive techniques. We sometimes make irrevocable decisions, for example, putting someone to death, based on inductive reasoning( and in at least 70 cases in the past decade, evidence not presented at the trial cleared people so sentenced: in some cases after they had been executed). Thus, in using induction as a method, many philosophers warn us to proceed with extreme caution.

人际功能

press conference

民政部

开放包容

BPart ADirections: Read the following four texts. Answer the questions below each text by choosing A, B, C or D./B

中间语言

Explicitation

中国经济上半年总体上保持了持续、快速、健康的发展态势。从宏观经济来说不能轻言“过热”。严格地讲，过热不是个经济词汇。过热相当于人体的发烧，是一种病态。把这个不严谨的词汇放在经济生活中容易引起误解。比如说过热和高速度是什么关系?高速度能不能等于过热? 当然，在思想上时刻警惕过热是必要的，但是全社会都来炒作“过热”会有不好的效果。比如，如果中国经济现在过热，下一步肯定会出现通货膨胀，可能会“踩刹车”，外资就会对自己的投资重新进行论证。国内企业家也会这样想。过热炒作太多的话会影响一些非专家型的人。就像医生对病人说疾病的时候要科学、严谨，否则会给病人带来很大的心理负担。心理因素在社会经济生活中越来越重要，舆论引导民众心理要有正确的方向。

Mercedes-Benz

控方证人

to foster new bright spots of Asian cooperation

从我国国情出发

power abuse

战国时期

UESTC

回教

Oceania

农村留守人口

赤道