摘要
采用我国长江经济带1995—2016年省域面板数据,基于扩展STIRPAT模型定量分析了长江经济带能源消费碳排放各驱动因素的影响机理。研究结果表明:(1)城市化水平因素对我国东部地区具有负向抑制作用,而对中部和西部地区具有正向驱动作用。(2)碳排放与人均GDP因素之间存在着倒"U"型曲线关系,目前只有东部地区通过了碳排放拐点,中部地区接近拐点,而西部地区碳排放量在较长时期内将持续增长。(3)产业结构和能源强度因素对碳排放均产生显著影响,且对中部和西部地区的影响远远大于东部地区,创新水平对碳排放影响微弱。(4)外商直接投资与金融发展因素对碳排放具有负向抑制作用,贸易开放度和环境规制因素的影响较小。
The provincial panel data of Changjiang River Economic Zone from 1995 to 2016 were adopted to quantitatively analyze the impact mechanism of various driving factors on carbon emission based on the extended STIRPAT model.The results showed that:(1)Urbanization had a negative effect on the eastern region,while had a positive driving effect on the central and western regions.(2)There was an inverted"U"curve relationship between carbon emission and per capita GDP.However,only the eastern region passed the inflection point of carbon emission,the central region was close to the inflection point,and the western region’s carbon emission would increase in a long time.(3)Both industrial structure and energy intensity had significant impacts on carbon emissions,and the impacts on the central and western regions were much greater than those in the eastern regions.Innovation level had a slight impact on carbon emissions.(4)Foreign direct investment and financial development had a negative effect on carbon emissions,and trade openness and environmental regulation failed the significance test,which had a small impact.
作者
邢红
XING Hong(Rugao Campus,Nantong Normal College,Nantong 226500,China)
出处
《资源开发与市场》
CAS
2020年第4期337-343,共7页
Resource Development & Market
基金
2017年江苏高校哲学社会科学研究项目“长江经济带能源消费、碳排放与经济增长关系实证研究”(编号:2017SJB2278)阶段性研究成果.
关键词
能源消费
碳排放
经济增长
扩展STIRPAT模型
长江经济带
energy consumption
carbon emissions
economic growth
extended STIRPAT model
Changjiang River Economic Zone
