摘要
以当前复杂社会下多变量间反应作为背景对政策议程设置的触发机制展开分析,结合多源流框架理论提炼条件变量。通过模糊集定性比较分析法(fsQCA)对48个网络舆论事件展开分析,以探求影响政策议程设置的必要条件以及变量组合。研究发现:“决策机构判断”和“政府态度”是影响政策议程设置的必要条件,在15条变量组合中也发现了两条具有代表性的变量组合、政府主体决定和公共舆论有限等结论。研究结果显示:与以往案例研究中舆论强就一定可以导致政策议程触发不同的是,在模糊集定性比较分析中更侧重于政府对于公共问题整体的分析,以及政府处理公共问题的态度成为了重要的决定性变量,而民众触发的规模可以在一定程度上加速这一进程。
This research analyze the triggering mechanism of policy agenda setting in the context of multivariate reactions in the current complex society,and extract conditional variables based on the multi-source flow framework theory.Using the Fuzzy Set Qualitative Comparative Analysis(fsQCA)method,48 online public opinion events were analyzed to explore the necessary conditions and variable combinations that affect policy agenda setting.Research has found that“decision-making body judgment”and“government attitude”are necessary conditions for influencing policy agenda setting.Two representative variable combinations and conclusions such as government agency decisions and limited public opinion were also found in the 15 variable combinations.The research results show that,unlike previous case studies where strong public opinion can inevitably trigger policy agendas,fuzzy set Qualitative Comparative Analysis focuses more on the government's overall analysis of public issues,and the government's attitude towards handling public issues becomes an important determining variable.The scale of public triggering can accelerate this process to a certain extent.
作者
沈杨
成纪宏
Shen Yang;Cheng Jihong
出处
《中国应急管理科学》
2024年第2期92-110,共19页
Journal of China Emergency Management Science
基金
陕西省社会科学基金“深入学习贯彻党的二十大精神研究”重大项目“党的理论创新引领中国式社会治理现代化路径研究”(2023ZD07)
陕西省社会科学基金“延安精神与高质量发展研究”专项项目“延安时期中国共产党应急管理的历史经验与现实启示”(2022YA06)。
关键词
政策议程设置
触发机制
多源流模型
QCA
Policy Agenda Setting
Triggering Mechanism
Multi-source Flow Model
QCA
