摘要
自19世纪中期开始,明清两代持续繁华的淮安出现了显著的衰退。既有研究往往从生态环境与经济中心变迁的宏观视角解释其由盛转衰的原因,但对微观机制分析不足。本研究通过对明清时期的淮安地区这一案例的分析,呈现政府主导下的漕运业与盐业的发展,如何形塑以资源部门为核心,生产性部门被边缘化的"核心-边缘"型二元产业结构,挤压农业与手工业部门的资源流入与技术升级空间。当官营经济萎缩,依附于官营部门的行业不复存在,技术与人力资本储备不足的问题就会暴露出来,导致被边缘化的产业难以发展,区域经济陷入长久衰退。本文为区域经济发展中的"资源诅咒"理论提供了机制性案例分析,并提出政府在"掠夺"的前提下所进行的扶持措施,并不会导致共享型、普惠型的经济增长,一旦国家调整发展方向,因"扶持之手"而出现的政策红利就会迅速消失,出现结构性的失序局面。
Since the mid-19 th century,Huai’an,once famous for its prosperity,has rapidly entered a"downward cycle."The reason for the decline of northern Jiangsu in modern times,represented by Huai’an,has been a matter of debate among scholars for a long time.The existing studies generally adopt a macro perspective such as the change of ecological environment and the shift of economic center,while analysis of the micro mechanism is insufficient.Through a case study of the Huai’an area in the Ming and Qing Dynasties,this paper shows how,under the leadership of the government,the development of salt industry and water transport industry helped shape a dual industrial structure,with the resource sector as the core and the productive sector increasingly marginalized,and how the agriculture and handicraft sectors were deprived of resource inflow and technology upgrading.Once the government-owned economy shrank,the industries affiliated to the government-owned sector soon disappeared,and the problem of insufficient technology and human capital reserve surfaced,resulting in the sluggishness of the marginalized industries and the long-term recession of the regional economy.
作者
林盼
Lin Pan(Institute of Economics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)
出处
《开放时代》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第6期140-155,9,共17页
Open Times
关键词
资源
诅咒
明清时期
淮安
官营产业
Resource
Curse Theory
Ming and Qing Dynasties
Huai’an
government-owned industry
