摘要
随着全球化、市场化、工业化和城镇化进程的加快以及人口流动政策的转变,我国流动人口规模快速增长。在此背景下,聚焦人口流动的消费市场,对扩大内需、促进消费的提质增效具有重要意义。本文采用2011-2021年我国32个大中城市数据(人口净流入城市),探讨人口流动对消费市场的影响。研究发现:人口流入对大中城市消费市场规模扩大具有促进作用,但这种促进作用具有异质性。具体而言,在东部地区和中部地区的大中城市,人口流入促进了消费市场规模的扩大,而在西部地区人口流入对消费市场规模的影响不明显。机制检验发现:工资水平在人口流动影响城市消费市场的过程中具有中介效应。人口流入提高了大中城市居民收入水平,增加了居民消费意愿和能力,从而对消费市场规模扩大产生积极影响。基于此,挖掘流动人口消费潜力、完善流动人口就业市场、提高流动人口收入,是扩大消费市场、构建新发展格局的重要途径。
With the acceleration of globalization,marketization,industrialization and urbanization,as well as the transformation of population mobility policies,the scale of China's floating population has grown rapidly.In this context,the consumer market,which fo-cuses on population flow,is of great significance to expand domestic demand and promote the quality and efficiency of consumption.This paper uses the data of 32 large and medium-sized cities in China from 2011 to 2021(net population inflow to cities)to explore the impact of population flow on the consumer market.The results show that population inflow has a promoting effect on the expansion of the con-sumer market in large and medium-sized cities,but this promotion effect is heterogeneous.Specifically,in large and medium-sized cities in the eastern and central regions,the inflow of population promotes the expansion of the scale of the consumer market,while the impact of population inflow on the scale of the consumer market in the western region is not obvious.The mechanism test shows that the wage level has an intermediary effect in the process of population flow affecting the urban consumer market.The inflow of population has in-creased the income level of residents in large and medium-sized cities,increased their willingness and ability to consume,and thus had a positive impact on the expansion of the consumer market.Based on this,tapping the consumption potential of the floating population,improving the employment market of the floating population,and increasing the income of the floating population are important ways to expand the consumer market and build a new development pattern.
出处
《价格理论与实践》
北大核心
2024年第2期200-203,共4页
Price:Theory & Practice
关键词
人口流动
流动人口收入
消费市场
gpopulation mobility
income of floating population
consumer market
