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区域产业政策有效性评估——基于中国资源型和老工业城市的证据 被引量:21

An effectiveness evaluation of regional industrial policy: based on evidence from resource-based and old industrial cities in China
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摘要 区域产业政策是实现城市转型升级的重要举措。基于2003—2018年中国资源型和老工业城市数据,使用双重差分模型评估了国家产业转型升级示范区试点政策(以下简称"示范区试点政策")的实施效果。研究发现,示范区试点政策显著推动了资源型和老工业城市转型升级,促进了当地产业结构高度化和合理化。这一结果在经过共同趋势、安慰剂、倾向得分匹配、敏感性和混合政策冲击等检验后,依然稳健。异质性分析发现,集群式和老工业基地内的示范区,城市转型升级效果较为显著,而单一式和资源型城市内的示范区,转型升级效果欠佳。机制检验表明,示范区试点政策通过提升城市创新能力、投资能力和资金支持效应,推动了城市产业转型升级。基于上市公司数据,从创新投入、投资机会和市场竞争角度进一步提供了微观证据。因此,应继续扩大示范区试点政策,并加强城市产业集群建设,以利于资源型和老工业城市实现转型升级。 Regional industrial policy is an important way to realize urban transformation and upgrading. Based on the data of resource-based and old industrial cities in China from 2003 to 2018, this paper evaluates the implementation effect of the pilot policy of national industrial transformation and upgrading demonstration zone(hereafter referred to as the "Demonstration Zone Pilot Policy")by using the difference-in-differences model. The study finds that the pilot policies of demonstration zones have significantly promoted the transformation and upgrading of resource-based and old industrial cities, and promoted the advancement and rationalization of local industrial structure. This result is still robust after the tests of common trends, placebo, propensity score matching, sensitivity and mixed policy shocks. Heterogeneity analysis finds that the effect of urban transformation and upgrading in cluster demonstration areas and demonstration areas in old industrial bases is more significant, while the effect of transformation and upgrading in single-type demonstration areas and demonstration areas in resource-based cities is poor. The mechanism test shows that the Demonstration Zone Pilot Policy promotes the transformation and upgrading of urban industries by enhancing urban innovation capacity, investment capacity and financial support. Then, based on the data of listed companies, this paper further provides micro evidence from the perspective of innovation investment, investment opportunities and market competition. Therefore, we should continue to expand the Demonstration Zone Pilot Policy and strengthen the construction of urban industrial clusters to help to transform and upgrade resource-based and old industrial cities.
作者 彭飞 金慧晴 PENG Fei;JIN Huiqing(School of Economics,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230601,China)
出处 《产业经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2021年第3期99-111,共13页 Industrial Economics Research
基金 国家社会科学基金重大项目(18ZDA064) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(JZ2021HGTB0067)
关键词 区域产业政策 产业转型升级 资源型城市 老工业基地 产业结构 regional industrial policy industrial transformation and upgrading resource-based cities old industrial cities industrial structure
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