摘要
文章选取2006—2018年新疆15个地州市的物流和对外贸易相关变量数据,讨论了新疆各地区物流业发展因素对对外贸易的影响程度。结果表明:不管在地理距离空间权重下,还是在经济距离空间权重下,交通运输仓储邮电行业产值和运输行业从业人员人数变量对新疆所在地区的对外贸易具有显著直接效应,但没有间接效应;运输行业从业人员平均工资的增长对新疆各地区对外贸易明显直接影响也存在显著空间溢出效应。运输行业从业人员平均工资的增长不仅可以增加本地区进出口贸易,还能增加相邻地区进出口贸易。
This article selects the logistics and foreign trade-related variable data of 15 prefectures and cities in Xinjiang from 2006 to 2018,and discusses the extent to which the development factors of the logistics industry in various regions of Xinjiang affect foreign trade.The results show that regardless of the spatial weight of geographic distance or the spatial weight of economic distance,the output value of the transportation,storage,post and telecommunications industry and the number of employees in the transportation industry have a significant direct effect on the foreign trade in Xinjiang,but no indirect effect;transportation;The increase in the average wage of industry employees has a significant direct impact on foreign trade in various regions of Xinjiang,and there is also a significant spatial spillover effect.The increase in the average salary of employees in the transportation industry can not only increase the import and export trade of the region,but also increase the import and export trade of neighboring regions.
作者
马军
王丰效
唐子兴
MA Jun;WANG Feng-xiao;TANG Zi-xing(School of Mathematics and Statistics,Kashgar University,Kashgar 844000,Xinjiang,China)
出处
《边疆经济与文化》
2021年第2期25-30,共6页
The Border Economy and Culture
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(11XTJ001)
关键词
空间计量分析
对外贸易
溢出效应
spatial econometric analysis
foreign trade
spillover effects
