摘要
针对如何精确预测公路旅游客流量这一问题,论述了公路旅游客流量研究背景,对包括神经网络模型在内的几类模型进行了分析,说明神经网络预测模型运用在公路旅游客流量预测中的优势.以实证分析为背景,论述了改进BP神经网络在公路旅游客流量预测中的应用,并深入研究了实际运用中输入/输出向量的选择、数据预处理方法、隐层神经元数目选择、训练函数选择等实际问题,对预测结果和实际值进行了比较和分析论述,得到一个适合的BP网络.最后对几种预测方法的预测结果进行比较,说明了BP神经网络在公路旅游客流量预测的合理性与可行性.
Nowadays,with increasingly confluent development of tourism and transportation,it draws more and more attention to how to forecast traveling passenger volume exactly.This paper expounds the background of research on that problem,analyzes several models including the neural network,and illuminates the advantages of the neural network in forecasting traveling passenger volume.With the help of the MATLAB neural network tools box in the case study,this paper discusses the applications of improved BP neural netw...
出处
《山东理工大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2008年第6期75-79,共5页
Journal of Shandong University of Technology:Natural Science Edition
