摘要
改革开放以来,随着对外贸易和外商直接投资的不断发展,大连三大产业结构发生很大的变化。本文利用1990—2010年的时间序列数据建立经济计量模型,检验对外贸易和外商直接投资对大连三大产业结构变动的影响。分析表明,出口额、进口额和外商直接投资额与第一、第二和第三产业之间都存在着很强的相关关系。在此基础上,提出了优化进出口商品结构,鼓励和引导外商对产业带动效应较强的行业进行投资,发展生产性服务业等有利于推动大连产业结构升级的政策建议。
Since reform and opening up,with the development of foreign trade and foreign direct investment,great changes have taken place in the three industries in Dalian.Based on the time-series data from 1990 to 2010,using econometric model,the paper tests effects of foreign trade and FDI on upgrading of industrial structure in Dalian.The analysis shows that the export,import and foreign direct investment have a strong correlation with the first,second and third industry.Therefore,optimizing import and export commodity structure,encouraging and guiding foreign investors to invest in the field which has close driving effects on industry and developing productive service industry are conducive to promoting upgrading of industrial structure in Dalian.
出处
《兰州商学院学报》
2012年第5期115-120,共6页
Journal of Lanzhou Commercial College
关键词
贸易
FDI
产业结构升级
foreign trade
foreign direct investment
industrial structure upgrading
