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山东温室气体排放趋势与减排路径研究 被引量:2

A Study on the Trend of Greenhouse Gas Emission and the Emission Reduction Path in Shandong Province
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摘要 控制温室气体排放是人类应对气候变化的关键。文章从人口、城市化水平、二产主导的经济结构、以煤为主的能源结构以及经济增长等5个视角分析未来山东温室气体排放的基本趋势,可以得出基本判断:山东正处于工业化和城市化快速推进的高能耗、高温室气体排放阶段,未来10年其经济发展和能源消费需求以及温室气体排放快速增长的趋势难以逆转。山东应与全球、全国同步,着眼于优化结构与提高能源技术效率,控制人口过快增长,大力发展绿色、低碳经济,走阶段性减排道路是山东减缓温室气体排放以应对气候变化的现实而有效的选择。 Controlling greenhouse gas emission is the key to human beings' dealing with climate changes.The article analyzes the basic trend of greenhouse gas emission in Shandong province from five perspectives including population,urbanization level,the Secondary industry-led economic structure,the coal-dominated energy structure and economic growth,and gets a basic judgment that Shandong is in a fast forwarding industrialization and urbanization phase of high energy consumption and high greenhouse gas emission,and the trend of economic growth,energy consumption demand and the rapid increase of greenhouse gas emission is difficult to reverse.Shandong should be synchronized with the global and national practice,focusing on optimizing the structure and improving the efficiency of energy technologies,controlling the fast growth of population,striving to develop a green and low-carbon economy.A path of phased greenhouse gas emission reduction is the realistic and effective choice to slow down greenhouse gas emission so as to deal with climate changes in Shandong province.
作者 傅增清
出处 《山东财政学院学报》 2012年第5期72-78,共7页 Journal of Shandong Finance Institute
基金 国家发改委资助项目"山东省应对气候变化规划思路研究"
关键词 温室气体排放 能源消费 减排 低碳经济 greenhouse gas emission energy consumption emission reduction low-carbon economy
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