摘要
20世纪90年代以来,中美高新技术产品贸易发展迅速。本文选取1992-2012年UN Comtrade数据,运用修正的恒定市场份额模型(CMS)对中美双边高新技术产品贸易增长因素进行分解。研究显示:价格竞争力效应是中国对美国高新技术产品出口增长的最主要因素,其次是市场需求引致效应,但近年来价格竞争力效应不断下降。与此存在明显差异的是,市场需求引致效应始终是美国对中国出口增长的重要因素,其次是出口结构性效应,而价格竞争力效应则制约了美国对中国高新技术产品的出口扩张。为促进中美高新技术产品贸易增长,提高贸易发展质量和水平,未来两国应根据市场变化和消费需求调整出口结构;增加研发投入,重点开发高附加值产品;促进两国新兴产业高科技领域合作,培育新的出口增长点;建立更多渠道的高新技术产品贸易协调机制。
Since the 1990 s,high- tech products trade has developed rapidly between China and the United States,and the status of trade gradually improved. Based on 1992- 2012 trade data,emphatically decomposed the growth factors,by using the revised CMS model( Constant Market Share),the conclusions showed that the price competitiveness effect is the primary factor of China's export to America about high- tech products,followed by the effects of market demand,but the price competitiveness effect gradually decreased. The growing factors China's exports to America are different form U. S. exports to China. U. S. exports of high- tech products to China mainly driven by market demand effect,followed by the effect of the export structure; the price competitiveness effect has seriously hampered the expansion of U. S. exports to China. In order to improve the quality and level of development of high- tech products trade,the paper proposes that the two countries should be based on changes in the market and consumer demand to adjust the export structure; increase R&D investment,focus on the development of high value- added products; promote bilateral cooperation in the field of emerging high- tech industries,cultivate new growth points for export; establish more channels of high- tech products trade coordination mechanism.
出处
《科学学研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第5期683-693,共11页
Studies in Science of Science
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目(11&ZD007)
国家社会科学基金项目(14BGJ046)
关键词
中美
高新技术产品贸易
修正的CMS模型
消费需求
贸易协调机制
China and the United States
high-tech products trade
revised CMS model
consumer demand
trade coordination mechanism
