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“女大难嫁”还是“男大难婚”——婚姻匹配的男女差异与“剩男剩女”的代价 被引量:18

Leftover Women or Leftover Men: The Difference of Marriage Match and the Price of Leftover
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摘要 使用CGSS 2010-2012研究我国目前存在的婚姻匹配困难问题,结果发现:男性成为"剩男"的可能性比女性成为"剩女"高约2.37个百分点;工作、收入和地区因素对于男性和女性的婚姻匹配都有显著影响,高等教育对女性的婚姻匹配困难作用有所减弱;RIF分解的结果表明系数效应是导致婚姻匹配市场上性别差异的主要原因,而非男女在禀赋上的差别;初步探究原因,性别比这一相对外生的因素贡献了系数效应的87.97%;婚姻匹配困难对人们的幸福感产生了负向影响,应用LSA估价法求得,"剩男"的代价为71294-80579元/年,"剩女"的代价为91532-103375元/年。"剩男剩女"是需要从本质上加以解决的重要社会问题。 Using CGSS 2010- 2012 cross-section data,this paper explores the difficulty of marriage match existing in China,we find that marriage match of man is more difficult than women,the possibility of leftover for man is 2. 37% higher than for woman; work,income and area are factors that may affect the marriage match of men and women,and the effect that higher education on women’s marriage match is smaller than before; through RIF decomposition,we find the coefficient effect is the main reason of the gender difference in the market of marriage; preliminarily explore the reasons,we add the sex ratio which is relatively exogenous,into the function,we find that the contribution of sex ratio to coefficient effect is 87. 97%. The difficulty of marriage match has larger effect on the happiness. Estimation through LSA show the price of leftover to women is 71294-80579 RMB per year,and the price of leftover to men is 91532- 103375 RMB per year. Leftover is a serious problem that needs to be solved essentially
出处 《人口与经济》 CSSCI 北大核心 2015年第5期13-24,共12页 Population & Economics
关键词 “剩男剩女” RIF分解 LSA leftover RIF decomposition LSA
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