摘要
文章依据计量人口学的有关理论,对20世纪 90年代后期中国的人口迁移率与年龄、学历和职业的关系进行了详实的描述,指出有关的迁移特征、与理论模型的异同点及其形成原因,并通过模拟迁移函数得到有关参数,从统计上进一步证实了记述分析得到的有关结论。文章的主要发现是:90年代后期中国的年龄—迁移率曲线呈现了与理论模型比较接近的变化倾向,但男性与女性的移动模型有较大的差别;教育程度、人口迁移政策、传统文化等因素对迁移率也有较大的影响。
The purpose of this paper is analyzing the model migration schedule and selection in the late 1990s China by
using the aggregated data of China's Fifth Population Census. The main findings of the paper are as follows: In the
late 1990s, migration rate curves by age showed the same tendency as Roger's theoretical model expects. However,
the migration rate curves differ significantly by sex. Factors such as educational level, population moving policies,
and traditional culture also have strong impacts on the model migration schedule.
出处
《中国人口科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2004年第3期30-39,共10页
Chinese Journal of Population Science
