摘要
本文运用决策支持系统理论,结合电力工业具体情况,研制了电力工业发展预测决策支持系统,并应用于实际预测。结果表明,本系统的预测具有一定的参考价值。
This paper studies various kinds of models applied to the forecasting of demand. Based on the status of the electric power industry in China, by using the theory of Decision Support System (DSS), a DSS for forecasting of electricity demand (E1DSS) has been set up. EIDSS is composed of three parts: (1) The Data Base &. Data Base Management System) (2) The Model Base System) (3) The Comprehensive Analyzing Base. In addition, a graphic system has also been established to display the results of retrieval and calculation.As an example of application, EIDSS is used to predict the electric power demand of China in 2000. By comparing the results of EIDSS with that of some departments concerned in China, we can see that the results of EIDSS can be trusted.
出处
《电网技术》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
1993年第1期14-19,共6页
Power System Technology