摘要
基于累积产量随时间递增的信息特征及对以往产量预测模型的研究,建立了一种预测油气田产量、累积产量和可采储量的新模型。该模型可以对油气田开发全过程的开发指标进行拟合与预测,并可简化为Logistic模型和胡 陈模型。用前苏联巴夫雷油田和北斯塔夫罗波尔—佩拉基阿金气田的实际数据验证的结果表明,该模型预测精度较高。
Based on the characteristics of the cumulative production, and the research of previous models for production forecast, a new model for the prediction of the production rate, cumulative production rate and recoverable reserves of oil and gas fields is developed. The model could match and forecast the exploitation indexes of the oil and gas fields, and it could be simplified to Logistic model and Hu-Chen model. The applications in a gas field and an oil field of the former Soviet Union prove that the prediction of the model is very reliable.
出处
《石油勘探与开发》
SCIE
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2004年第3期104-106,共3页
Petroleum Exploration and Development
关键词
预测
产量
累积产量
可采储量
模型
prediction
production
cumulative production
recoverable reserves
model
