摘要
[目的 ]了解本地区居民糖尿病死亡情况 ,掌握规律 ,为防治糖尿病提供基础资料。 [方法 ]对金山地区1990～ 1997年的居民病伤死亡原因报表中的糖尿病死亡资料进行整理、分析。 [结果 ]糖尿病死亡率自 90年代初以来有逐年升高的趋势 ,且女性高于男性 ,男性 80岁年龄组与女性 70岁年龄组为死亡高峰。并利用灰色系统GM (1,1)建立预测模型^X(1)(k + 1) =6 8.875 96 832e0 .0 60 83 0 60 7K- 6 6 .32 5 96 832预测出 1998～ 2 0 0 0年本地区的糖尿病死亡率趋势。[结论 ]本地区各医疗卫生系统需加强对糖尿病的防治工作 ,尤其是中老年人及老年妇女的卫生保健工作 ,以减少发病率及死亡率。
Objective] To find out the resent state of death in diabetes in this region, to grasp it's regular pattern, and provide basic data for the prevention and control of diabetes. [Methods] By analysing the diabetes death report forms between 1990 and 1997. [Results] Death in diabetes was rising since the early 1990's, the mortality rate of diabetes in female was higher than that in male. The male death peak was age group 80, the female death peak was age group 70. By use of the Grey dynamic model a prediction model was build up. ^X (1) (k+1) =68.87596832e 0.060830607K -66.32596832 to predict the mortality rate of diabetes in this region from 1998 to 2000. [Conclusions] Every medical team should strengthen the prevention and control of diabetes especially in the health care for middle age and old people especially elderly women, to reduce the incidence and mortality rate of diabetes.
出处
《上海预防医学》
CAS
2000年第5期208-209,共2页
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine
