摘要
自从1998年我国实施积极财政政策以来,我国国债规模空前扩大,于是我国国债政策的可持续性就成为了人们关注的问题。本文从国债的应债能力和偿债能力两类指标体系出发,实证分析了我国国债的规模及其经济负担,并运用国债预测模型对我国未来二十年的国债负担率作了动态预测,揭示出我国国债仍有巨大的潜力,说明我国国债政策的可持续性。
Since our country implemented the positive financial policy in 1998, the scale of national debt of our country is expanded unprecedentedly, then the constantcy of national debt of our country becomes the question that people pay close attention to . This article analyses the scale of the national debt of our country and financial burden from two kinds of index systems, and then uses the model of national debt to predict the bearing rate of national debt of the following 20 years of our country , revealing the national debt of our country stills have enormous potentiality , prove that the policy of national debt of our country is very constant.
出处
《首都经济贸易大学学报》
2005年第1期93-96,共4页
Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business
关键词
国债
可持续性
国债规模
动态预测
national debt constantcy
scale of the national debt
predict dynamically
