摘要
通过对气田开发规律性的认识, 结合气田开发循环变动状况, 分析气田开发中众多经济变量的波谷、波峰及其转折。借助宏观经济预警分析的领先指标、同步指标和滞后指标的方法, 建立气田开发经济预警指标体系。将时间数列中测定循环波动的方法和宏观经济预警研究的方法结合起来, 运用到气田开发经济预警研究中, 通过建立相应的指标体系和经济预警分析模型, 绘制出气田开发经济预警控制图,通过控制图发现问题及时调整开发方案, 避免气田开发过程中的过度波动, 保持气田开发的相对均衡性。
By understanding the regularity of gas field development, with the cycle changing situation of gas field development, the wave trough, wave peak and turning point of many economic variables in the gas field development are analyzed. With the leading, synchronous and delaying indexes of alarm analysis for macro-economy, the economic alarm index system of gas field development is set up. Combining the cycle waving measuring method in the time sequence with the alarm studying method of macro-economy to use for the economic alarm study of gas field development, with establishing the corresponding index system and the economic alarm analysis models, the economic alarm-controlling figure is made. The controlling figure is used to find problems, adjust the production program timely, prevent over waving in gas field development, and keep the relative balance of gas field development.
出处
《天然气勘探与开发》
2005年第1期60-63,共4页
Natural Gas Exploration and Development
基金
"油气藏地质开发工程"西南石油学院国家重点实验室项目 (PLN0140)。
