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投融资体制变革与中国经济增长的投资拉动和收敛效应——利用一个内生结构模型所作的实证分析 被引量:4

Reform of Investment and Finance System and Contribution and Convergence Effect of Investment on Economic Growth of China ——The Experimental Analysis Conducted by Using Endogenetic Model
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摘要 The paper tests the impact of the evolution of China’s investment and sourcing mechanism on its economic growth with a structural model in which aggregate output and investment are treated as endogenous variables.Our estimates using the methods of indirect least squares show a strong correlation between output and investment supporting the hypothesis that China’s growth are almost fully attributable to its capital investment.However,the results also indicate that it is the institutional reforms regarding investment ownership diversification, market orientation and local government participation that supported China’s lasting growth in the past two decades.Our empirical tests also produce a negative correlation between China’s output growth and its level implicating that growth convergence is applicable to China. The paper tests the impact of the evolution of China's investment and sourcing mechanism on its economic growth with a structural model in which aggregate output and investment are treated as endogenous variables.Our estimates using the methods of indirect least squares show a strong correlation between output and investment supporting the hypothesis that China's growth are almost fully attributable to its capital investment.However,the results also indicate that it is the institutional reforms regarding investment ownership diversification, market orientation and local government participation that supported China's lasting growth in the past two decades.Our empirical tests also produce a negative correlation between China's output growth and its level implicating that growth convergence is applicable to China.
作者 胡永刚
机构地区 上海财经大学
出处 《统计研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2005年第4期21-24,共4页 Statistical Research
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