期刊文献+

Evaluation of East Asian Climatology as Simulated by Seven Coupled Models 被引量:53

Evaluation of East Asian Climatology as Simulated by Seven Coupled Models
下载PDF
导出
摘要 Using observation and reanalysis data throughout 1961-1990, the East Asian surface air temperature, precipitation and sea level pressure climatology as simulated by seven fully coupled atmosphere-ocean models, namely CCSR/NIES, CGCM2, CSIRO-Mk2, ECHAM4/OPYC3, GFDL-R30, HadCM3, and NCAR-PCM, are systematically evaluated in this study. It is indicated that the above models can successfully reproduce the annual and seasonal surface air temperature and precipitation climatology in East Asia, with relatively good performance for boreal autumn and annual mean. The models' ability to simulate surface air temperature is more reliable than precipitation. In addition, the models can dependably capture the geographical distribution pattern of annual, boreal winter, spring and autumn sea level pressure in East Asia. In contrast, relatively large simulation errors are displayed when simulated boreal summer sea level pressure is compared with reanalysis data in East Asia. It is revealed that the simulation errors for surface air temperature, precipitation and sea level pressure are generally large over and around the Tibetan Plateau. No individual model is best in every aspect. As a whole, the ECHAM4/OPYC3 and HadCM3 performances are much better, whereas the CGCM2 is relatively poorer in East Asia. Additionally, the seven-model ensemble mean usually shows a relatively high reliability. Using observation and reanalysis data throughout 1961-1990, the East Asian surface air temperature, precipitation and sea level pressure climatology as simulated by seven fully coupled atmosphere-ocean models, namely CCSR/NIES, CGCM2, CSIRO-Mk2, ECHAM4/OPYC3, GFDL-R30, HadCM3, and NCAR-PCM, are systematically evaluated in this study. It is indicated that the above models can successfully reproduce the annual and seasonal surface air temperature and precipitation climatology in East Asia, with relatively good performance for boreal autumn and annual mean. The models' ability to simulate surface air temperature is more reliable than precipitation. In addition, the models can dependably capture the geographical distribution pattern of annual, boreal winter, spring and autumn sea level pressure in East Asia. In contrast, relatively large simulation errors are displayed when simulated boreal summer sea level pressure is compared with reanalysis data in East Asia. It is revealed that the simulation errors for surface air temperature, precipitation and sea level pressure are generally large over and around the Tibetan Plateau. No individual model is best in every aspect. As a whole, the ECHAM4/OPYC3 and HadCM3 performances are much better, whereas the CGCM2 is relatively poorer in East Asia. Additionally, the seven-model ensemble mean usually shows a relatively high reliability.
出处 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2005年第4期479-495,共17页 大气科学进展(英文版)
基金 This research was jointly supported by the Chinese Academy of Sciences(CAS)under Grant No.KZCX3-SW-221 by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.40405015 by the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology under Grant No.2001BA611B(part 1) by the CAS“Hundred Talent Project"funding awarded to Gao Yongqi.
关键词 coupled model East Asian climatology EVALUATION coupled model, East Asian climatology, evaluation
  • 相关文献

参考文献9

二级参考文献55

  • 1赵宗慈.模拟人类活动影响气候变化的新进展[J].应用气象学报,1993,4(4):468-475. 被引量:5
  • 2赵宗慈,丁一汇,李晓东,王绍武.海气耦合模式在东亚地区的可靠性评估[J].应用气象学报,1995,6(A01):9-18. 被引量:32
  • 3丁一汇 王守荣主编.中国西北地区气候变化影响与对策研究[M].气象出版社,2001.210.
  • 4[1]Houghton, J. T. , G. J. Jenkins, and J. J. Ephraums, Eds., Climate Change, The IPCC Scientific Assessment, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1990, 364pp.
  • 5[2]Houghton, J. T. , B. A. Callander, and S. K. Varney, Eds. , Climate Change 1992, The Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1992, 200 pp.
  • 6[3]Houghton, J. T. , L. G. Meira Filho, B. A. Callander, N. Harris, A. Kattenberg, and K. Maskell Eds. , Climate Change 1995 : The Science of Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1996, 572 pp.
  • 7[4]Houghton, J.T. , The IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), Cambridge University Press,Cambridge, UK, 2000, 120 pp.
  • 8[5]Houghton, J. T. , Ding, Y. ,Eds. , Climate Change 2000, TheScientific Basis, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2001, 770 pp.
  • 9[8]Boer, G.J. , G. Flato, M. C. Reader, and D. Ramsden, A transient climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: experimental design and comparison with the instrumental record for the 20th century, ClimateDyn., 2000, 16, 405~425.
  • 10[9]Boer, G. J. , G. Flato, M. C. Reader, and D. Ramsden, A transient climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: projected climate for the 21st century, Climate Dyn. , 2000, 16, 427~450.

共引文献491

同被引文献604

引证文献53

二级引证文献737

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部