摘要
针对在装备管理中所采用的专家评估法存在着未确知性现象,提出了一种基于D-S证据合成理论来融合未确知性信息的方法.从而,将每名专家的意见综合为专家组的一致意见,使评估结果更合理.最后,通过实例说明该方法的有效性.
As the expert evaluation method applied in equipment management has the unascertained characteristic, the synthesis method of unascertained information based on D-S theory is presented, by which every expert′s opinion is synthesized, thus the result of evaluation is more creditable. Finally, an application example proves that the method is effective.
出处
《海军工程大学学报》
CAS
北大核心
2005年第4期53-55,63,共4页
Journal of Naval University of Engineering
关键词
证据理论
未确知性
信息融合
风险评估
Dempster-Shafer theory
unascertained characteristic
information synthesis
risk evaluation
