摘要
根据1997年和2002年《上海市投入产出表》的基本信息,用定量分析的方法比较和研究5年来上海市经济总量及产业结构变化对交通运输服务需求的影响。结果表明,交通运输业与上海经济发展的相关性趋于强化,对交通运输中间投入的完全消耗和最终使用的完全需求影响最大的产业和项目分别从1997年的建筑业、省际销售(调出)和固定投资转换为2002年的化学工业、省际销售(调出)和外贸出口。因此,随着上海外向型经济和重化工业的不断推进,交通运输业的发展空间必将更为广阔。
Based on the Shanghai＇ s Input-Output Tables for the years of 1997 and 2002, the effects of Shanghai＇s economic growth and changes in its industrial structure on the demands for the local transport services within the past five years are compared and analyzed by using the quantitative techniques, A conclusion is drawn that the interdependence between Shanghai＇ s economy and its transport industry is strengthening, and the biggest sectors demanding for the intermediate inputs and final outputs of transport services have been changed into the local chemical industry, inter-provincial sales and exports oversea respectively. Thus, the potential for the development of transport industry will be extremely large as Shanghai＇ s export-oriented economy and manufacturing industries are pushed further ahead,
出处
《上海海事大学学报》
北大核心
2005年第3期40-43,共4页
Journal of Shanghai Maritime University
基金
上海市教委科技项目(2004109)上海市重点学科建设项目(T0602)
关键词
交通运输业
总产出
中间投入
最终使用
transport industry
total output
intermediate input
final utilization
