摘要
利用周期图分析法和方差分析法对南亚热带的代表地漳州市1961～2003年共43 a历年12月各旬日最低气温旬均值和各旬极端最低气温资料进行数学模拟,寻找南亚热带地区12月各旬低温的变化规律,建立了可以应用于南亚热带地区的12月各旬日最低气温旬均值的预测模型和各旬极端最低气温的预测模型,并分析南亚热带地区12月低温出现的趋势.
By means of cycle figure and variance analysis,the average value of the minimum daily temperature each ten days and the extreme minimum temperature of each ten days in Dec. from 1961 to 2003 in Zhangzhou City were simulated which is the representational place of south subtropics so as to search for the variation regularity of low temperature of each ten days in Dec. in south subtropics and the forecasting model of TxD and TxjD each ten days in Dec. was estabished, which can be applied in south subtropics. And through this model, the tendency of low temperature in Dec. in south subtropics was analysed.
出处
《江西农业大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2005年第5期776-780,共5页
Acta Agriculturae Universitatis Jiangxiensis
基金
福建省科技攻关计划资助项目(2005Y002)
福建省教育厅资助项目(JA03071)
关键词
南亚热带
低温
预测模型
果树
香蕉
South subtropical zone
low temperature
predict models
fruit tree
banana
