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Vasicek状态空间模型与上交所国债利率期限结构实证 被引量:14

Empirical Study on Estimated Error of Term Structure of Interest Rate Using BSplines Method
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摘要 在分析现有多因子V asicek利率模型基础上,通过改进模型状态因子非相关性假定,推导出新的单、双因子V asicek状态空间利率模型及相应参数估计方法。最后利用上交所国债隐含的收益率数据估计了单因子及双因子V asicek状态空间利率模型。实证表明改进的双因子V asicek利率模型,比较准确地描述了利率期限结构的动态变化特征。 This paper discusses the updated Vasicek model by releasing the hypothesis of uncorrelated factors. The model is expressed in a state-space form and the Kalman filter is used to estimate the parameters of model. The empirical study shows that this two-factor Vasicek state-space model is efficient and can be used to model the dynamic interest rate term structure of government bonds in SSE.
出处 《系统工程理论方法应用》 北大核心 2005年第5期458-461,共4页 Systems Engineering Theory·Methodology·Applications
关键词 国债 利率期限结构 双因子Vasicek模型 卡尔曼滤波 government bonds term structure of interest rates two-factor Vasicek model Kalman filter
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参考文献6

  • 1Vasicek O A. An equilibrium characterization of the term structure[J]. Journal of Financial Economics,1977,(5):177-188.
  • 2Fong H G, Vasicek O A. Interest rate volatility as a stochastic factor, working paper[R]. Gifford Associates, 1991.
  • 3Lionel M, Philippe P. Fixed-income securities:dynamic methods for interest rate risk pricing and hedging[M]. England: John Wiley&Sons Ltd,2001.
  • 4朱世武,陈健恒.交易所国债利率期限结构实证研究[J].金融研究,2003(10):63-73. 被引量:167
  • 5傅曼丽.利率期限结构的B-样条函数构建法与误差分析[R].Working Paper[R].,2004..
  • 6Hamilton J D.Time series analysis[M].Princeton University Press,1 994.

二级参考文献7

  • 1McCulloeh J. Huston. "Measuring, the Term Structure of Interest Rates", Journal of Finance, 1971, Vol. 44, pp. 19 - 31.
  • 2Oldrich. A Vasicek, H Gifford Fong, "Term Structure Modeling using Exponential Splines". Journal of Finance, 1982,Vol. 37, pp.339-348.
  • 3C R Nelson & A F Siegel, "Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves". Journal of Business, i987, Vol. 60, pp.473-489.
  • 4T Ho, S Lee, "Term structure movements and pricing interest rate contingent claims", Journal of Finance, 1986, Vol. 41,pp 1011 - 1030.
  • 5Bruce Tuckman. Fixed Income Securities. New Jersey, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2002.
  • 6杜海涛.利率期限结构理论与实证研究[J].中国货币市场,2002(10):54-56. 被引量:8
  • 7曹兴华,杨春鹏.中国国债动态收益率曲线的实证研究[J].中国货币市场,2002(12):51-53. 被引量:2

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