摘要
在编制城市总体规划时收集的资料和信息往往是不完全和不对称的,很多数据需要通过科学的理论去建立合理的模型来推算,本文采用灰色理论建模,以GDP预测为例详细说明了灰色预测模型GM(1,1)的建模过程。该模型对于预测城市总体规划中水文、人口、用地规模、城市化水平、交通运输发展、公共交通以及客货运量等具有普遍指导意义。
It is usually incomplete and dissymmetrical for the data and information of comprehensive planning. Many data should be calculated by rational models on the basis of scientific theory. The paper establishes model by grey theory and carefully explains modeling of grey forecasting model by the example of GDP of Baoying county. The model has an universal guiding significance for forecasting hydrology, population, use land, urbanization level, traffic and transportation planning, public traffic, volume of passenger and freight transport and so on.
出处
《基建优化》
2005年第5期106-108,116,共4页
Optimization of Capital Construction
关键词
灰色理论
总体规划
预测
GDP
grey theory
comprehensive planning
forecasting
gross domestic product
