摘要
能源消费在三次产业的分布与三次产业经济发展的关系如何,对于我国国民经济的可持续发展,建立资源节约型社会,保证资源的永续利用具有重要的现实意义。本文利用协整理论,检验三次产业的能源消费与产业发展的协整和因果关系,建立误差修正模型。结果表明,三次产业的能源消费弹性不同,GDP是能源消费的格兰杰因果关系。
The relationship between the energy consume at three times industry distribution and the economic development has important realistic meaning in relation to sustainable development of our national economy, the establishment of resources economy type society, the everlasting resources exploitation. This text applies the Co-integration theory, and examines the Co- integration and causality relation between the industry energy consume and industry development, and establishs error correction model. The results are： the energy consume flexibility of each industry is dissimilarity, the GDP is Granger causality of the energy consume.
出处
《首都经济贸易大学学报》
2005年第6期71-74,共4页
Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business
关键词
产业能源消费
协整
误差修正模型
格兰杰因果关系
industrial enreny consume
co-integration
Granger causality
error correction model
