摘要
本文把灰色系统ＧＭ（１，１）预测模型与马尔柯夫链预测方法结合起来对洪涝灾害发生年份的预测模型进行了研究．并获得了令人满意的结果。这对洪涝灾害发生年份的预测提供了一种新的研究手段。
Based on the meteorological data of 853 farm.a new flood year forecast model which combines Grey System Gm(1,1) Forecast Model with Markov Chaim Forecast Thought has been put forward in this research. It shows high accuracy in the flood year forecast.
出处
《黑龙江八一农垦大学学报》
1996年第3期23-27,共5页
journal of heilongjiang bayi agricultural university
关键词
洪涝灾害
预测模型
马尔柯夫链
预测
Flood
Grey System GM(1,1)
Forecast Model
Markov Chaim Forecast Thought
