摘要
目的探讨急诊骨外伤与气象要素的关系。方法分析1999-2003年天津医院急诊骨外伤的变化特征并与同期气象资料进行单相关分析。筛选气象因子对骨科急诊量变化趋势作出预测。结果骨科急诊量春季4、5月份和秋季9、10月份比较高,与气象要素相关性较好。用气象因子组成的急诊骨外伤预测方程通过了可信度检验。结论骨科急诊量与气象要素密切相关,用气温、气压和降水量等主要气象因子对骨科急诊量作分级预测,有一定的实用性。
Objective To explore correlation between number of orthopedics emergency cases and meteorological factors. Methods Correlation between the characteristic of various orthopedics emergency cases from Tianjin Hospital in 1999--2003 and meteorological data during the same period was analyzed. The trend of the various of orthopedics emergency cases was predicted by selected meteorological factors. Results Number of orthopedics emergency cases was higher in April-May during spring and in Sept. -Oct. during autumn, correlated positively with meteorological factors. Reliability of the predictive equation of number of orthopedics emergency cases and meteorological factors was proven. Conclusion There was a significant correlation the between number of orthopedics emergency cases and meteorological factors. To make graded prediction the number of orthopedics emergency cases using major meteorological influence factors such as air temperature, air pressure and precipitation has certain.
出处
《中华急诊医学杂志》
CAS
CSCD
2005年第12期1013-1015,共3页
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine
基金
天津市气象局科技攻关项目(200204)
关键词
急诊骨外伤
相关性
气象要素
预测
Emergency trauma orthopedics
Correlation
Meteorological factor
Prediction
