摘要
与刘易斯模型预测的“拐点”不同,中国经济中出现了伴随着高达60%比例农村人口的普通劳动力工资水平的上升现象,文章称之为“准刘易斯拐点”。尽管有多方面因素促成这一现象,但中国经济中仍然存在一些潜在力量促使这一冲击现象尽快结束。文章认为,面对伴随“民工荒”而出现的中国“拐点”问题,中国政府政策需要做出一系列调整,以建立良性循环和互信互利的劳动力市场环境及劳资关系。经过政府、企业与新生代劳工之间的调适和努力,中国经济很可能会较好地渡过“民工荒”冲击阶段,回到正常的二元经济转型轨道。
Different from the prediction of Lewis turning-point theory, the wage of the ordinary Chinese rural labor force increased by nearly 60 percent in recent years. This new development, defined as the new turning-point or 'Quasi-Lewis Turning-Point', is brought about by many factors existing in the Chinese economy. However, some potential forces in the Chinese economy are probably going to alter the direction of the new turning-point and terminate this development. In face of the shortage of migrant workers, the Chinese government has to readjust its policies in real earnest to create a labor market environment of mutual trust and benefit and improve labor-capital relations. With the joint efforts of the government, enterprises and a new generation of workers, the Chinese economy will meet the shortage of labour and return to the normal track of the dualistic development in the near future.
出处
《中国人口科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2005年第6期2-10,共9页
Chinese Journal of Population Science
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目“核心就业扩展与中国就业模式转型”(批准号03AJL005)提供的资助。
