摘要
以陕西关中地区为研究对象，通过选取其1990～2003年金融发展和经济增长的相关数据，通过建立计量经济模型和葛兰杰因果关系检验，结果发现实际利率、金融相关比率与关中地区经济增长率之间有着较强的负相关性；金融发展与经济增长之间的因果关系是单向的，即表现为经济增长带动了金融发展，而金融发展对关中地区经济增长的推动作用并不显著，这说明关中地区还存在着较为严重的金融抑制现象。为此，提出必须从金融机构的数量扩张与结构优化两个方面强化金融对经济增长的支持作用。
Both the theoretical and empirical analysis have proved that the financial development has inherent related mechanism with the economic growth. But, when it comes to the county-level economy, the relationship between financial development and economic growth still needs to be studied. So, based on the data from 1990 to 2003, this paper has taken the region of Guanzhong in Shaanxi Province for example. The result of the economic model and Granger Causality Test indicates that there is strong negative relevant relations between the true rate of interest and county-level economic growth, so as the financial developing index; and individual causality between financial development and economic growth. To be exactly, the latter is mainly driven by the former, and the latter hasn＇t played an unremarkable role in the county-level economy. It is obvious that there is financial repression in the region of Guanzhong. Therefore, we should take measures to enhance the role of finance toward economic growth from the quantity expanding and the structure optimizing.
出处
《西北大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2006年第1期26-31,共6页
Journal of Northwest University：Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition
基金
陕西省教育厅专项科研基金资助项目(04JK073)
关键词
县域经济
金融发展
经济增长
实证分析
county-level economy
financial development
economic growth
empirical analysis
