摘要
为了更准确地预测油气藏未来的经济可采储量,依据油气藏随开发必然要经历产量递减和生产收支平衡的实际,利用Logistic模型中技术可采储量、产量与时间的相互关系,经推导和改进后,再结合当前经济技术条件下的废弃产油量,预测油气藏的有效生产时间及其经济可采储量。实践证实,改进后的Logistic模型预测结果更符合油气藏的生产实际,能为油气藏的储量管理提供可靠的依据。
An oil - gas reservoir certainly will go through the reality of production rate decline and balanced revenue and expenditure of production. For more accurately forecasting the future economic recoverable reserves of oil - gas reservoir, Logistic model is derived and improved when abandonment oil production rate under currently economic technical condition is considered. Effective production time and economic recoverable reserves of the oil - gas reservoir are predicted according to the relationship among technical recoverable reserves,oil production and time as well as the abandonment oil production rate. The practice proves that the result predicted by the improved Logistic model is more fit for the real production of the oil -gas reservoir,and can provide the reliable theory basis for its reserves management of the oil - gas reservoir.
出处
《油气地质与采收率》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2006年第3期56-57,73,共3页
Petroleum Geology and Recovery Efficiency
关键词
油气藏
预测模型
经济
可采储量
废弃产量
生产时间
oil - gas reservoir, forecasting model, economy,recoverable reserves,abandonment oil production rate,production time
