外商直接投资与中国经济增长的长期均衡和动态关系分析被引量：12

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摘要本文基于向量自回归模型对FDI与中国经济增长以及经济增长的影响因素的长期均衡和动态关系进行了分析。实证结果表明,FDI对我国的就业产生了负效应;对人力资本、产业结构升级的促进作用较小;FDI对中国资本积累、市场化程度的提高、科技创新成果和对外贸易的促进作用比较显著;国内投资、对外贸易、人力资本和科技创新成果对经济增长的促进作用大于FDI;FDI与市场化程度互为因果关系;FDI是经济增长及国际贸易、产业资本、人力资本、R&D、产业结构变化的格兰杰原因,而不是劳动力的原因。

作者周春应王波

机构地区河海大学商学院

出处《世界经济与政治论坛》 CSSCI 北大核心 2006年第3期8-16,共9页 Forum of World Economics & Politics

关键词外商直接投资经济增长 VAR模型格兰杰因果检验动态关系

分类号 F832.6 [经济管理—金融学]

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